Publications

 
 





IN PRESS 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015  2014   2013   2012   2011  2010   2009   2008  2007  <2006   SUBMITTED


IN PRESS


423- Bystrova, D., Assaad, C.K., Arbel, J., Devijver, E., Gaussier, E. & Thuiller, W. Causal Discovery from Time Series with Hybrids of Constraint-Based and Noise-Based Algorithms. Transactions on Machine Learning Research

422- Goury, R., Münkemüller, T., Bonfanti, N., Calderon-Sanou, I., Poulenard, J., Orchamp consortium & Thuiller, W. The role of earthworms in mediating environmental impacts on mountain ecosystem functioning. Global Ecology & Biogeography, in revision

421- Lucas, P.M., Thuiller, W.,, Talluto, M., ..., Pollock, L.J. Trophic interactions are key to understanding the effects of global change on the distribution and functional role of the brown bear. Global Change Biolology.

420- Vezzani, L., Schipper, A.M., Thuiller, W., Verburg, P.H., Smith, H.G., Marques, A., Global relationships between crop yield and pollinator abundance. Journal of Applied Ecology. PDF

419- Wootton, L.M., Boucher, F.C., Pouchon, C., Roquet, C., Coissac, E., Also, I.G., Valla, P., Husson, L., Bernet, M., Perrier, C., Douzet, R., Rome, M., Valay, J.-G., Alberti, A., Denoeud, F., Zimmermann, N.E., Wincker, P., Thuiller, W., Renaud, J., PhyloNorway consortium, PhyloAlps consortium & Lavergne, S. Pleistocene climatic cycles, landscape dynamics and the late rise of sky-island vegetation in the European Alps. Nature Plants

418- Wootton, L.M., Boucher, F.C., Renaud, J., Valla, P.G., Midolo, G., Lososová, Z., Thuiller, W. & Lavergne, S. The Limited legacy of post-glacial recolonization in the floristic patterns of the European Alps. Systematic Biology.


PUBLISHED

2025

417- Cantera, I., Giachello, S., Münkemüller, T., Caccianiga, M., Gobbi, M., Losapio, G., Marta, S., Valle, B., Zawierucha, K., Thuiller, W., & Ficetola, F. (2025) Describing functional diversity of communities from environmental DNA. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 4(2), 170-179 PDF

416- Dumont, M., Monteiro, D., Fihol, S., Gascoin, S., Marty, C., Hagenmuller, P., Morin, S., Choler, P. & Thuiller, W.. (2025) The European Alps in a changing climate: physical trends and impacts. Comptes Rendus Geoscience - Sciences de la Terre, 357, 25-42 PDF

415- Gérard, S., Decaëns, T., Butt, K.R., Briones, M.J.Y., Capowiez, Y., Cluzeau, D., Hoeffner, K., Le Bayon, R.-C., Marchán, D.F., Marsden, C., Muys, B., Pelosi, C., Pérès, G., Phillips, H.R.P., Santini, L., Thuiller, W. & Hedde, M. (2025) Putting earthworm conservation on the map: Shortfalls and solutions for developing earthworm conservation. Biological Conservation, 302: 110911, PDF

414- Hu, J., Si-Moussi, S., & Thuiller, W. (2025) Introduction to Deep Learning Methods for Multi-Species Predictions. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 16(1) 228-246 PDF

413- Kass, J.M., Smith, A.B., Warren, D.L., Vignali, S., Schmitt, S., Aiello-Lammens, M.E., Arlé, E., Barbosa, A.M., Broennimann, O., Cobos, M.E., Guéguen, M., Guisan, A., Merow, C., Naimi, B., Nobis, M.P., Ondo, I., Osorio-Olvera, L., Owens, H.L., Pinilla-Buitrago, G.E., Robertson, M., Sánchez-Tapia, A., Thuiller, W., Valavi, R., Velazco, S.J.E., Zizka, A. & Zurell, D. (2025) Achieving higher standards in species distribution modeling by leveraging the diversity of available software. Ecography, e07346, PDF

412- Marchal, L., Gateuille, D., Naffrechouxa, E., Thuiller, W. & Poulenard, J. (2025) Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon contents and distributions in soils of the northern French Alps. Environmental Science and Pollution Research 32 (17), 10945-10959

411- Poggiato, G., Andréoletti, J., Pollock, L.J., & Thuiller, W. (2025) Integrating food webs in species distribution models can improve ecological niche estimation and predictions. Ecography,5, e07546 PDF

410- Rhor, M., Thuiller, W., Chalmandrier, L. & Münkemüller, T. (2025) The role of observation scales, trait correlations and competitive regimes in community assembly patterns. Ecology and Evolution, 15(4), e71272.

409- Staples, T.L., Blois, J., Cramer, K.L., Cunningham, E.T., Dornelas, M., Haberle, S.G., Heger, T., Kiessling, W., Magurran, A.E., O'Dea, A., Penny, A.M., Radeloff, V.C., Smith, J.A., Thuiller, W., Williams, J.W. & Pandolfi, J.M. (2025) A Conceptual Framework for Measuring Ecological Novelty. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 34:e70005. PDF

2024

408- Antunes, A.C., Berti, E., Brose, U., Hirt, M.R., Karger, D.N., O’Connor, L.M.J., Pollock, L.J., Thuiller, W. & Gauzens, B. (2024) Linking biodiversity, ecosystem function, and Nature’s contributions to people: a macroecological energy flux perspective. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 39, 427–434 PDF

407- Arpin, I., Poulenard, J., Ratouis, M., Birck, C., Bonet, R., Bourdeau, P., Choler, P., Crouzat, E., Dodier, H., Forêt, J., Fort, N., Girard, V., Liénard, B., Liger, L., Schwoehrer, C., Thuiller, W. & Valay, J.-G. (2024) Organising and enacting inter-organisational coordination in long-term social-ecological monitoring. Biological Conservation, 294, 110642.PDF

406- Botella, C. Gaüzère, P. O'Connor, L.M.J., Ohlmann, M. Renaud, J. Dou, Y. Graham, C., Verburg, P., Maiorano, L., Thuiller, W. 2024. Don’t bite the hand that feeds you: Meta food webs help in the face of the Eltonian shortfall. Global Change Biology, 30(6), e17359 PDF

405- Botella, C. Gaüzère, P. O'Connor, L.M.J., Ohlmann, M. Renaud, J. Dou, Y. Graham, C., Verburg, P., Maiorano, L., Thuiller, W. (2024) Land-use intensity influences European tetrapod food-webs. Global Change Biology, 30(2), e17167 PDF

404- Calderón-Sanou, I., Ohlmann, M., Münkemüller, T., Zinger, L., Hedde, M., Lionnet, C., Martinez-Almoyna, C., Saillard, A., Renaud, J., Le Guillarme, N., Gielly, L., Orchamp Consortium & Thuiller, W. (2024) Mountain soil food webs shaped by the interplay between habitat and pedoclimatic conditions. Soil Biology & Biochemistry, 190, 109282 PDF

403- Cantera, I., Carteron, A., Guerrieri, A., Marta, S., Bonin, A., Ambrosini, R., Anthelme, F., [et al.], Poulenard, J., Thuiller, W., Caccianiga, M. & Ficetola, G.F. (2024) The importance of species addition versus replacement varies over succession in plant communities after glacial retreat. Nature Plants, 10, 256–267 PDF

402- Carteron, A., Cantera, I., Guerrieri, A., Marta, S., Bonin, A., …, Poulenard, J., Thuiller, W., Caccianiga, M. & Ficetola, G.F. Dynamics and drivers of mycorrhizal fungi after glacier retreat. New Phytologist, 242(4), 1739-1752

401- Chauvier, Y., Pollock, L.J., Verburg, P.H., Karger, D.N., Pellissier, L., Lavergne, S., Zimmermann, N.E; & Thuiller, W. (2024) Transnational conservation to anticipate future plant shifts in Europe. Nature Ecology & Evolution, PDF

400- Dumas, K., Rosa, A., Yannic, G., Gallet, C., Calderon-Sanou, I., Lionnet, C., Thuiller, W., Lavergne, S., & Ibanez, S. How cushion plant communities structure nival soil biodiversity : a metabarcoding study in the French Alps. Basic and Applied Ecology, 2024, 49-60, PDF

399- Essl, F., García-Rodríguez, A., Lenzner, B., Alexander, J.M., Capinha, C., Gaüzère, P., Guisan, A., Kühn, I., Lenoir, J., Richardson, D.M., Rumpf, S., Svenning, J.C., Thuiller, W., Zurell, D. & Dullinger, S. (2024) Potential sources of time lags in calibrating species distribution models. Journal of Biogeography, 51(1), 89-102 PDF

398- Ficetola, G.F., Marta, S., Guerrieri, A., Cantera, I., Bonin, A., ..., Thuiller, W. & Carteron, A. The development of terrestrial ecosystems emerging after glacier retreat. Nature, 632, 336–342, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07778-2

397- Foulquier, A., Datry, T., Corti, R., von Schiller, D., Tockner, K., Stubbington, R., Gessner, M., Boyer, F., Ohlmann, M., Thuiller, W., , et al. (2024) Unravelling large-scale patterns and drivers of biodiversity in dry rivers. Nature Communications, 15, 7233, PDF

396- Guerrieri, A., Cantera, I., Marta, S., Bonin, A., […], Fontaneto, D., Thuiller, W. & Ficetola, G.F. (2024) Local climate modulates the development of soil nematode communities after glacier retreat. Global Change Biology, 30(1), e17057 PDF

395- Hartig, F., Abrego, N., Bush, A., Chase, J.M., Guillera-Arroita, G., Leibiold, M.A., Ovaskainen, O., Pellissier, L., Pichler, M., Poggiato, G., Pollock, L.J., Si-Moussi, S., Thuiller, W., Viana, D.S., Warton, D., Zurell, D. & Yu, D.W. (2024) Novel community data in ecology - properties and prospects. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 39(3), 280-293 PDF

394- Kambach, S., Axmanová, I., Attorre, F., Biurrun, I., Bonari, G.,Carranza, M.L., Chiarucci, A., Chytrý, M., Dengler, J., Garbolino, E., Golub, V., Hickler, T., Jandt, U., Jansen, J., Jašková, A., Jiménez-Alfaro, B.,Karger, D.N., Lososová, Z., Rašomavičius, V., Rusina, S., Sieber, P., Stanisci, A., Thuiller, W., Welk, E., Zimmermann, N.E. & Bruelheide, H. Climate regulation processes are linked to the functional composition of plant communities in European forests, shrublands, and grasslands. Global Change Biology, 30(2), e171189 PDF

393- Kass, J.M., Fukaya, K., Thuiller, W. & Mori, A.S. (2024) Biodiversity modeling advances will improve predictions of nature’s contributions to people. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 39, 338–348 PDF

392- Litchman, E., Villéger, S., Zinger, L., Augeret, J.-C., Thuiller, W., Kraft, N.J.B., Philippot, L. & Violle, C. Refocusing the microbial rare biosphere concept through a functional lens. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 39(10), 923-936 PDF

391- Martinez-Almoyna, C., Calderon-Sadou, I., Lionnet, C., Gielly, L., Boyer, F., Dufour, P., Dunyach, Lily., Miquel, C., Olhmann, M., Poulenard, J., Renaud, J., Saillard, A., Si-Moussi, S., Stephan, R., Varoux, M., Münkemüller, T., & Thuiller, W. (2024) Vegetation structure and climate shape mountain arthropod distributions across trophic levels. Journal of Applied Ecology, 93(10), 1510-1523 PDF

390- Midolo, G., Axmanová, I., Divíšek, J., Dřevojan, P., Lososová, Z., Večeřa, M. et al. (2024) Diversity and distribution of Raunkiær’s life forms in European vegetation. Journal of Vegetation Science, 35, e13229 PDF

389- Mouillot, D., Velez, L., Albouy, C., Casajus, N., Claudet, J., Delbar, V., Devillers, R., Letessier, T.B., Loiseau, N., Manel, S., Mannocci, L., Meeuwig, J., Mouquet, N., Nuno, A., O’Connor, L.J.M., Parravicini, V., Renaud, J., Seguin, R., Troussellier, M. & Thuiller, W. The socioeconomic and environmental niche of protected areas reveals global conservation gaps and opportunities. Nature Commmunications, 15, 9007. PDF

388- O'Connor, L.M.J., Cosentino, F., Harfoot, M.B.J, Maiorano, L., Mancino, C., Pollock, L.J., & Thuiller, W. (2024) Vulnerability of terrestrial vertebrate food webs to anthropogenic threats in Europe. Global Change Biology, 30(3), e17253, PDF

387- O’Connor, L.M.J, Renaud, J., Dou, Y., Karger, D.N., Maiorano, L., Verburg, P.H. & Thuiller, W. (2024) Habitat suitability of European land systems for terrestrial vertebrates. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 33:e13903 PDF Data

386- Ohlmann, M., Munoz, F., Massol, F. & Thuiller, W. (2024) Assessing mutualistic metacommunity capacity by integrating spatial and interaction networks. Theoretical Population Biology, 154, 22–39 PDF

385- Pranzini, N., Maiorano L., Cosentino F., Thuiller W. & Santini, L. (2024) On the role of species interactions in shaping the geographic pattern of ungulate abundance across African savannah. Scientific Report, 14, 19647 PDF

384- Pereira, H.M., Martins, I.S., Rosa, I.M.D., Kim, H., Leadley, P., Popp, A., van Vuuren, D.P., Hurtt, G., Quoss, L., Arneth, A., Baisero, D., Bakkenes, M., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Chini, L., Di Marco, M., Ferrier, S., Fujimori, S., Guerra, C.A., Harfoot, M., Harwood, T.D., Hasegawa, T., Haverd, V., Havlík, P., Hellweg, S., Hilbers, J.P., Hill, S.L.L., Hirata, A., Hoskins, A.J., Humpenöder, F., Janse, J.H., Jetz, W., Johnson, J.A., Krause, A., Leclère, D., Matsui, T., Meijer, J.R., Merow, C., Obersteiner, M., Ohashi, H., De Palma, A., Poulter, B., Purvis, A., Quesada, B., Rondinini, C., Schipper, A.M., Settele, J., Sharp, R., Stehfest, E., Strassburg, B.B.N., Takahashi, K., Talluto, M.V., Thuiller, W., Titeux, N., Visconti, P., Ware, C., Wolf, F. & Alkemade, R. (2024) Global trends and scenarios for terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050. Science, 384, 458–465 PDF

383- Prima, M.C., Renaud, J., Witté, I., Suarez, L., Rouveyrol,Fernando, M.,Sacchi, A., Cosentino, F., Santini, L., Maiorano, L., Moreira, F., Dertien, J., Fernandez, N., & Thuiller, W. (2024) A comprehensive framework to assess multi-species landscape connectivity for conservation planning. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 15(12), 2385-2399 PDF

382- Thuiller, W. (2024) Ecological Niche Modeling. Current Biology 34, R225–R229 PDF

381- Thuiller, W., Calderon-Sanou, I, Chalmandrier, L., Gaüzere, P., O'Connor, L.O., Ohlmann, M., Poggiato, M. & Münkemüller, T. (2024) Navigating the integration of Biotic Interactions in Biogeography. Journal of Biogeography, 51(4), 550-559 PDF

380- Thuiller, W., Saillard, A, ... The Orchamp Consortium. (2024) ORCHAMP: an observatory network for monitoring Biodiversity and Ecosystem Functioning Across Space and Time in Mountains. Comptes Rendus. Biologies, 347(4), 223-247. PDF

379- Vallé, C., Poggiato, G., Thuiller, W., Jiguet, F., Princé, K., Le Viol, I. Species associations in joint species distribution models: from missing variables to conditional predictions. Journal of Biogeography, 51(2), 312-324 PDF


2023

378- Bektaş, B., Thuiller, W., Renaud, J., Guéguen, M., Calderon-Sanou, I., Valay, J.-G., Colace, M.-P. & Münkemüller, T. (2023) A spatially explicit trait-based approach uncovers changes in assembly processes under warming. Ecology Letters, 26, 1119-1131 PDF

377- Cutts, V., Hanz, D.M., Barajas-Barbosa, M.P., Schrodt, F., Steinbauer, M.J., Beierkuhnlein, C., Denelle, P., Fernández-Palacios, J.M., Gaüzère, P., Grenié, M., Irl, S.D.H, Kraft, N., Kreft, N., Maitner, B., Munoz, F., Thuiller, W., Violle, C., Weigelt, P., Field, R. & Algar, A.C. (2023) Links to rare climates do not translate into distinct traits for island endemics. Ecology Letters, 26(4), 504-515 PDF

376- Deschamps, G., Poggiato, G., Brun, P., Galliez, C. & Thuiller, W. (2023) Predict first - assemble later vs assemble first - predict later: revisiting the dilemma for functional biogeography. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 14(10), 2680-2696 PDF

375- Dou, Y., Zagaria, C., O’Connor, L., Thuiller, W. & Verburg, P.H. (2023) Using the Nature Futures Framework as a lens for developing plural land use scenarios for Europe for 2050. Global Environmental Change, 83, 102766 PDF

374- Dutta, T., De Barba, M., Selva Fernandez, N., Fedorca, A., Maiorano, L., Thuiller, W., Zedrosser, A., Signer, J., Pflüger, F., Frank, S., Lucas, P. & Balkenhol, N. (2023) An objective approach to select surrogate species for connectivity conservation. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution,11, PDF

373- Gaüzere, P., Blonder, B., Denelle, P., Fournier, B., Grenié, M., Münkemüller, T., Munoz, F., Violle, C. & Thuiller, W. (2023) The functional trait distinctiveness of plant species is scale dependent. Ecography, e06504 PDF

372- Gaüzère, P., Botella, C., Poggiato, G., O’Connor, L.M.J., Di Marco, M., Dragonetti, C., Maiorano, L., Renaud, J. & Thuiller, W. (2023) Dissimilarity of vertebrate trophic interactions reveals spatial uniqueness but functional redundancy across Europe. Current Biology, 33(23), 5263-5271.e3 PDF

371- Giachello, S., Cantera, I., Carteron, A., Marta, S., Cipriano, C., Guerrieri, A., Bonin, A., Thuiller, W. & Ficetola, G.F. (2023) Toward a Common Set of Functional Traits for Soil Protists. Soil Biology & Biochemistry, 187, 109207 PDF

370- Guerrieri, A., Carteron, A., Bonin, A., Marta, S., Ambrosini, R., Caccianiga, M., Cantera, I., Compostella, C., Diolaiuti, G., Fontaneto, D., Gielly, L., Gili, F., Gobbi, M., Poulenard, J., Taberlet, P., Zerboni, A., Thuiller, W. & Ficetola, G.F. (2023) Metabarcoding data reveal vertical multitaxa variation in topsoil communities during the colonization of deglaciated forelands. Molecular Ecology, 32(23), 6304-6319 PDF

369- Leclerc, L., Calderón-Sanou, I., Martinez-Almoyna, C., Paillet, Y., Thuiller, W., Vincenot, L., The Orchamp Consortium & Kunstler, G. Beyond the role of climate and soil conditions: living and dead trees matter for soil biodiversity in mountain forests. Soil Biology and Biochemistry, 187, 109194 PDF

368- Le Guillarme, N., Hedde, M., Potapov, A.M., Berg, M.P., Briones, M.J.I, Calderón-Sanou, I., Degrune, F., Hohberg, K., Martinez-Almoyna, C., Martínez-Muñoz, C.A., Pey, B., Russell, D.J. & Thuiller, W. (2023) The Soil Food Web Ontology: aligning trophic groups, processes, and resources to harmonise and automatise soil food web reconstructions. Ecological Informatics, 78, 102360, PDF

367- Le Guillarme, N. & Thuiller, W. (2023) A Practical approach to constructing a knowledge graph for soil ecological research. European Journal of Soil Biology, 117, 103497 PDF

366- Lososová, Z., Axmanová, I., Chytrý, M., Midolo, G., Adbulhak, S., Karger, D.N., Renaud, J., Van Es, J., Vittoz, P. & Thuiller, W. (2023) Seed dispersal distance classes and dispersal modes for the European flora. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 32(19), 1485-1494 PDF

365- Mahaut, L., Choler, P., Denelle, P., Garnier, E., Thuiller, W., Kattge, J., Lemauviel-Lavenant, S., Lavorel, S., Munoz, F., Renard, D., Serra-Diaz, J.M., Viovy, N. & Violle, C. (2023) Trade-offs and synergies between ecosystem productivity and stability in temperate grasslands. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 32(4), 561-572 PDF

364- Marta, S., Zimmer, A., Caccianiga, M., Gobbi, M., Ambrosini, R., Azzoni, R.S., Gili, F., Pittino, F., Thuiller, W., Provenzale, A., Ficetola, G.F. (2023) Heterogeneous changes of soil microclimate in high mountains and glacier forelands. Nature Communications, 14:5306 PDF

363- Munoz, F., Klausmeier, C.A., Gaüzère, P., Kandlikar, G., Litchman, E., Mouquet, N., Ostling, A., Thuiller, W., Algar, A., Auber, A., Cadotte, M., Delalandre, L., Denelle, P., Enquist, B., Fortunel, C., Grenié, M., Loiseau, N., Mahaut, L., Maire, A., Violle, C., & Kraft, N. (2023) The ecological causes of functional distinctiveness in communities. Ecology Letters, 26(8), 1452-1465 PDF

362- Ohlmann, M., Matias, C., Poggiato, G., Dray, S., Thuiller, W., & Miele, V. (2023) Quantifying the overall effect of biotic interactions on species distributions along environmental gradients. Ecological Modelling, 483, 110424 PDF

361- Poggiato, G., Gaüzere, P., Deschamp, G., Martinez-Almoyna, C., Münkemüller, T., Violle, C., Renaud, J. & Thuiller, W. (2023) Predicting combinations of community mean traits using joint modeling. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 32(8), 1409-1422 PDF

360- Rigoudy, N., Dussert, G., Benyoub, A., Besnard, A., Birck, C., Boyer, J., Bollet, Y., Bunz, Y., De Backer, N., Caussimont, G., Chetouane, E., Chiffard Carriburu, J., Cornette, P., Delestrade, A., Dispan, L., Le Barh, M., Duhayer, J., Elder, J.-F., Fanjul, J.-B., Fonderflick, J., Froustey, N., Garel, M., Gaudry, W., Gérard, A., Gimenez, O., Hemery, A., Hemon, H., Jullien, J.-M., Knitter , D., Malafosse, I., Marginean, M., Ménard, L., Ouvrier, A., Pariset, G., Prunet, V., Rabault, J., Randon, M. Ribière, R., Raulet, Y., Régnier, A., Ribière, R., Ricci, J.-C., Ruette, S., Schneylin, Y., Sentilles, S., Siefert, N., Smith, B., Terpereau, G., Touchet, P., Thuiller, W., Uzal, A., Vautrain, V., Vimal, R., Weber, J., Spataro, B., Miele, V. & ; Chamaillé-Jammes, S. (2023) The DeepFaune initiative: a collaborative effort towards the automatic identification of the French fauna in camera-trap images. European Journal of Wildlife Research, 69, 113 PDF

359- Vale, M., Vieira, M., Grelle, C.E., Manes, S., Pires, A., Tardin, R., Weber, M., Menezes, M., O'Connor, L.M.J., Thuiller, W., and Tourinho, L.(2023) Ecosystem services delivered by Brazilian mammals: spatial and taxonomic patterns and comprehensive list of species. Perspectives in Ecology and Conservation, 21(4), 302-310 PDF



2022

358- Auber, A., Waldock, C., Maire, A., Goberville, E., Albouy, C., Algar, A.C., McLean, M., BrindAmour, A., Green, A.L., Tupper, M., Vigliola, L., Kaschner, K., Reyes, K., Beger, M., Tjiputra, J., Toussaint, A., Violle, C., Mouquet, N., Thuiller, W., & Mouillot, D. A functional vulnerability framework for biodiversity conservation. Nature Communications, 13, 4774 PDF

357- Boonman, C.C.F, Huijbregts, M.A.J, Benitez-Lopez, A., Schipper, A.M., Thuiller, W. & Santini, L. (2022) Trait-based projections of climate change effects on global biome distributions, 28, 25–37 Diversity and Distributions. PDF

356- Botella, C., Dray, S., Matias, C., Miele, V. & Thuiller, W. (2022) An appraisal of graph embeddings for comparing trophic network architectures. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 13(1) 203-216 PDF

355- Brun, P., Violle, C., Mouillot, D., Mouquet, N., Enquist, B.J., Munoz, F., Münkemüller, T., Ostling, A., Zimmermann, N.E. and Thuiller, W. Plant community impact on productivity: the interplay of community-level functional attributes, individual species, and environmental selection. Ecology Letters 25(4), 913-925 PDF

354- Calderon-Sanou, I., Zinger, L., Hedde, M., Martinez-Almoyna, C., Saillard, A., Renaud, J., Gielly, L., Khedim, N., Lionnet, C., Ohlmann, M., The Orchamp Consortium, Münkemüller, T. and Thuiller, W. Energy and physiological tolerance explain multi-trophic soil diversity in temperate mountains, Diversity and Distributions, 28, 2549– 2564 PDF

353- Caron, D., Maiorano, L., Thuiller, W. & Pollock, L.J. Reducing the Eltonian shortfall with trophic interaction models. Ecology Letters, 25(4), 889-899 https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13966 PDF

352- Chauvier, Y., Descombes, P., Guéguen, M., Thuiller, W., & Zimmermann, N.E. Resolution in species distribution models shapes spatial patterns of plant multifaceted diversity. Ecography, e05973 PDF

351- Davies, T.J., Maurinc, O., Yessoufou, K., Daru, B.H., Bezeng, B.S., Mankga, L.T., Schaefer, H., Thuiller, W. & van der Bank, M. (2022) Woody plant phylogenetic diversity supports natures contributions to people but is at risk from human population growth. Conservation Letters, 15, e12914 PDF

350- Delalandre, L., Gaüzere, P., Thuiller, W., Cadotte, M., Mouquet, N., Mouillot, D., Munoz, F., Denelle, P., Loiseau, N., Morin, X. & Violle, C. (2022) Functionally distinct tree species support long-term productivity in extreme environments. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, 289(1967) B.

349- Eisenhauer, N., Bender, S.F., Calderón-Sanou, I., de Vries, F.T., Lembrechts, J.J., Thuiller, W., Wall, D.H., Zeiss, R., Bahram, M., Beugnon, R., Burton, V.J., Delgado-Baquerizo, M., Geisen, S., Kardol, P., Krashevska, V., Martínez-Muñoz, C.A., Patoine, G., Seeber, J., Soudzilovskaia, N., Steinwandter, M.,  Sünnemann, M., Sun, X., Guerra, C.A. & Potapov, A. (2022) Frontiers in soil ecology - Insights from the World Biodiversity Forum 2022. Journal of Sustainable Agriculture and Environment, 1: 245– 261PDF

348- Flück, B., Mathon, L., Manel, S., Valentini, A., Dejean, T., Albouy, C., Mouillot, D., Thuiller, W., Murienne, J., Brosse, S. & Pelissier, L.  (2022) Applying convolutional neural networks to speed up environmental DNA annotation in a highly diverse ecosystem. Scientific Reports, 12:10247 [https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-13412-w]  PDF

347- Galiana, N., Lurgi, M., Bastazini, V., Bosch, J., Cagnolo, L., Cazelles, K., Claramunt, B., Emer, C., Fortin, M.J., Grass, I., Jauker, F., Leroux, S., McCann, K., McLeod, A., Montoya, D., Mulder, C., Steffan-Dewenter, I., Traveset, A., Vázquez, D., Wood, S., Gravel, D., Roslin, T., Thuiller, W. and Montoya, J.M. Ecological network complexity scales with area. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 6, 307-314. PDF

346- Garcès-Pastor, S., Coissac, E., Lavergne, S., [et al.], Alsos, I.G. High resolution ancient sedimentary DNA shows that alpine plant diversity is associated with human land use and climate change. Nature Communications, 13, 6559. PDF

345- Gaüzere, P., O'Connor, L., Botella, C., Poggiato, G., Münkemüller, T., Pollock, L.J. Brose, U., Maiorano, L., Harfoot, M.H. and Thuiller, W. (2022) The diversity of interactions complements functional and phylogenetic facets of biodiversity. Current Biology, 32(9), 2093-2100 PDF

344- Ge, D., Qu, Y., Deng, T., Thuiller, W., Fišer, C., Ericson, P.G.P., Guo, B., de la Sancha, N.U., von der Heyden, S., Hou, Z., Li, J., Abramov, A., Vogler, A.P., Jønsson, K.A. and Mittermeier, R. (2022), New progress in exploring the mechanisms underlying extraordinarily high biodiversity in global hotspots and their implications for conservation. Diversity and Distributions, 28, 2448-2458. PDF

343- Hedde, M., Blight, O., Briones, M.J.I., Bonfanti, J., Brauman, A., Brondani, M., Calderón Sanou, I., Clause, J., Conti, E., Cortet, J., Decaëns, T., Erktan, A., Gérard, S., Goulpeau, A., Iannelli, M., Joimel-Boulanger, S., Jouquet, P., Le Guillarme, N., Marsden, C., Martinez Almoyna, C., Mulder, C., Perrin, W., Pétillon, J., Pey, B., Potapov, A.M., Si-moussi, S., Thuiller, W., Trap, J., Zaitsev, A., Vergnes, A., and Capowiez, Y. A common framework for developing robust soil fauna classifications. Geoderma, 426, 116073 PDF

342- Le Guillarme, N. & Thuiller, W. (2022) TaxoNERD: deep neural models for the recognition of taxonomic entities in the ecological and evolutionary literature. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 13, 625-641 PDF

341- Martinez-Almoyna, C., Saillard, A., Zinger, L., Lionnet, C., Arnoldi, C., Foulquier, A., Gielly, L., Piton, G., The Orchamp Consortium, Münkemüller, T. & Thuiller, W. (2022) Differential effects of soil trophic networks on microbial decomposition activity in mountain ecosystems. Soil Biology & Biochemistry, 172, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soilbio.2022.108771, PDF

340- Mathieu, J., Antunes, A.C., Barot, S., Bonato Asato, A.E., Bartz, M.L.C., Brown, G.G., Calderon-Sanou, I., Decaëns, T., Fonte, S.J., Ganault, P., Gauzens, B., Gongalsky, K.B., Guerra, C.A., Hengl, T., Lavelle, P., Marichal, R., Mehring, H., Pena-Venegas, C.P., Castro, D., Potapov, A., Thébault, E., Thuiller, W., Witjes, M., Zhang, C. & Eisenhauer, N. (2022) sOilFauna - a global synthesis effort on the drivers of soil macrofauna communities and functioning. Soil Organisms, 94(2), 111-126 PDF

339- Moran, E.V., Thuiller, W., Angert, A. & Benito Garzon, B. (2022) Editorial: Predicting and managing climate-driven range shifts in plants. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 10, PDF

338- Peterson, A.T.P., Aiello-Lammens, M.E., Amatulli, G., Anderson, R.P., Cobos, M.E., Diniz-Filho, J.A.F, Escobar, L.E., Feng, X., Franklin, J., Gadelha Jr., L.M.R., Georges, D., Guéguen, M., Gueta, T., Ingenloff, K., Jarvi, S., Jiménez, L., Karger, D.N., Kass, J.M., Kearney, M.R., Loyola, R., Machado-Stredel, F., Martínez-Meyer, E., Merow, C., Mondelli, M.L., Mortara, S.R., Muscarella, R., Myers, C.E., Naimi, B., Noesgaard, D., Ondo, I., Osorio-Olvera, L., Owens, H.L., Pearson, R., Pinilla-Buitrago, G.E., Sánchez-Tapia, A., Saupe, E.E., Thuiller, W., Varela, S., Warren, D.L., Wieczorek, J., Yates, K., Zhu, G., Zuquim, G. & Zurell, D. (2022) ENM2020: a free online course and set of resources on modeling species niches and distributions. Biodiversity Informatics, 17, 1-9

337- Smyčka, J., Roquet, C., Boleda, M., Alberti, A., Boyer, F., Douzet, R., Perrier, C., Rome, M., Valay, J.-G., Denoeud, F., Šemberová, K., Zimmermann, N.E., Thuiller, W., Winker, P., Alsos, I.G., Coissac, E., the PhyloAlps consortium, Lavergne, S. (2022) Tempo and drivers of plant diversification in the European mountain system. Nature Communications, 13, 2750 PDF



2021

336- Bektaş, B., Thuiller, W., Saillard, A., Choler, P., Renaud, J., Colace, M.-C., Della Vedova, R., Münkemüller, T. (2021) Lags in phenological acclimation of mountain grasslands after recent warming. Journal of Ecology, 109, 3396-3410 PDF

335- Bystrova, D., Poggiato, G., Bektas, B., Arbel, J., Clark, J.S., Guglielmi, A. & Thuiller, W. (2021) Clustering species with residual covariance matrix in Joint Species Distribution models. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 9, 601384, 09 March 2021 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2021.601384 PDF

334- Calderon-Sanou, I., Münkemüller, T., Zinger, L., Schimann, H., Yoccoz, N.G., Gielly, L., Foulquier, A., Hedde, M., Ohlmann, M., Roy, M., Si-Moussi, S. & Thuiller, W. (2021) Cascading effects of moth outbreaks on sub-arctic soil food webs. Scientific Reports, 11, 15054. PDF

333- Chauvier, Y., Thuiller, W., Brun, P., Lavergne, S., Descombes, P., Karger, D.N., Renaud, J. & Zimmermann, N.E. (2021) Influence of climate, soil and land cover on plant species distribution in the European Alps. Ecological Monographs, 91(2) e01433 PDF

332- Chauvier, Y., Zimmermann, N.E., Poggiato, G., Bystrova, D., Brun, P. & Thuiller, W. Novel methods to correct for observer and sampling bias in presence-only species distribution models. Global Ecology & Biogeography, 30, 2312–2325  PDF

331- Dou, Y., Cosentino, F., Malek, Z., Maiorano, L., Thuiller, W., & Verburg, P. (2021) A new European land systems representation accounting for landscape characteristics. Landscape Ecology,36(8) 2215-2234 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-021-01227-5 PDF Data

330- Ficetola, G.F., Marta, S., Guerrieri, A., Gobbi, M., Ambrosini, R., Fontaneto, D., Zerboni, A., Poulenard, J., Caccianiga, M. & Thuiller, W. (2021) Dynamics of ecological communities following glacier retreats. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution and Systematics, 52:405–26 PDF

329- Ficetola, G.F., Mazel, F., Falaschi, M., Marta, S., & Thuiller, W. (2021) Determinants of zoogeographical boundaries differ between vertebrate groups. Global Ecology & Biogeography, 30, 1796-1809 PDF

328- Floury, M., Pollock, L.J., Buisson, L., Thuiller, W., Chandesris, A. & Souchon, Y. (2021) Combining expert-based and computational approaches to design protected river networks under climate change. Diversity and Distributions, 27(12), 2428-2440 PDF

327- Galiana, N., Barros, C., Braga, J., Ficetola, G.F., Maiorano, L., Thuiller, W., Montoya, J. & Lurgi, M. (2021) The spatial scaling of food web structure across European biogeographical regions. Ecography, 44(5) 653-664 PDF

326- Guerrieri, A., Bonin, A., Münkemüller, T., Gielly, L., Thuiller, W., Ficetola, G.F. (2021) Effects of soil preservation for biodiversity monitoring using environmental DNA. Molecular Ecology, 30(13), 3313-3325 PDF

325- Hirt, M.R., Barnes, A.D., Gentile, A., Pollock, L.J., Rosenbaum, B., Thuiller, W., Tucker, M. & Brose, U. Environmental and anthropogenic constraints on animal space use drive extinction risk worldwide. Ecology Letters, 24(12), 2576-2585 PDF

324- Kunstler, G., Guyennon, A., Ratcliffe, S., Rüger, N., Ruiz-Benito, P., Salguero-Gomez, R., Childs, D.Z., Dahlgren, J., Kandler, G., Lehtonen, A., Thuiller, W., Wirth, C. & Zavala, M.A. (2021) Tree demographic performance of European tree species at their hot and cold edges. Journal of Ecology, 109, 1041-1054 PDF

323- Loiseau N., Thuiller, W., Stuart-Smith, R.D., Devictor, V., Edgar, G.J., Velez, L., Cinner, J., Graham N.A.J., Renaud, J., Hoey, A., Manel, S. & Mouillot, D. Maximising regional biodiversity requires a mosaic of protection levels. PLoS Biology 19(5): e3001195. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3001195

322- Marx, H.E., Carboni, M, Douzet, R., Perrier, C., Delbart, F., Thuiller, W., Lavergne, S. and Tank, D.C. (2021) Can functional genomic diversity provide novel insights into mechanisms of community assembly? A pilot-study from an invaded alpine streambed. Ecology and Evolution, 11(17), 12075-12091 PDF

321- Mathon, L., Guerin, P.-E., Normandeau, E., Valentini, A., Noel, C., Lionnet, C., Linard, B., Thuiller, W., Bernatchez, L., Mouillot, D., Dejean, T. & Manel, S. (2021) Benchmarking bioinformatic tools for fast and accurate eDNA metabarcoding species identification. Molecular Ecology Resources, 1(7) 2565-2579 PDF

320- Mouillot, D., Loiseau, N., Grenié, M., Algar, A., Allegra, M., Cadotte, M., Casajus, N., Denelle, P., Guéguen, M., Maire, A., Maitner, B., McGill, B., McLean, M., Mouquet, N., Munoz, F., Thuiller, W., Villéger, S., Violle, C. & Auber, A. The dimensionality and structure of species trait spaces. Ecology Letters, 24:1988–2009 PDF

319- O'Connor, L.M.J., Pollock, L.J., Verhagen, W., Verburg, P.H., Lavorel, S., Renaud, J. & Thuiller, W. Balancing conservation priorities for nature and for people in Europe. Science, 372 (6544), 856-860 PDF

318- Poggiato, G., Münkemüller, T., Bystrova, D., Arbel, J., Clark, J.S. & Thuiller, W. (2021) On the interpretations of joint modelling in community ecology. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 36(5), 391-401 PDF Appendices

317- Pouteau, R., Biurrun, I., Brunel, C., Chytrý, M., Dawson, W., Essl, F., Fristoe, T., Haveman, R., Hobohm, C., Jansen, F., Kreft, H., Lenoir, J., Lenzner, B., Meyer, C., Moeslund, J.E., Pergl, J., Pyšek, P., Svenning, J.-C., Thuiller, W., Weigelt, P., Wohlgemuth, T. & van Kleunen, M. Potential alien ranges of European plants are predicted to shrink in the future, but less so for naturalized than for not yet naturalized species. Diversity and Distributions, 27(11), 2063-2076 PDF

316- Pouteau, R., Thuiller, W., [...]. & van Kleunen, M. (2021) Climate and socio-economic factors explain differences between observed and expected naturalization patterns of European plants around the world. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 30(7), 1514-1531 DOI: 10.1111/geb.13316, PDF

315- Quian, H., Ricklef, R.E & Thuiller, W. (2021) Evolutionary assembly of flowering plants into sky islands. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 5, 640-646 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-021-01423-1 PDF

314- Stewart, A., Rioux, D., Boyer, F., Gielly, L., Pompanon, F., Saillard, A., Thuiller, W., The ORCHAMP Consortium, Valay, J.-G., Maréchal, E. & Coissac, E. Altitudinal zonation of green algae biodiversity in the French Alps. Frontiers in Plant Science, 12, DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2021.679428, PDF

313- Thom, D., Taylor, A.R., Seidl, R., Thuiller, W., Wang, J., Robideau, M. & Keeton, W.S. (2021) Forest structure, not climate, is the primary driver of functional diversity in northeastern North America. Journal of the Total Environment, 762: 143070 PDF

312- Weil, S.-S., Martinez-Almoyna, C., Piton, G., Renaud, J., Boulangeat, L., Foulquier, A., Saillard, A., Choler, P., Poulenard, J., ORCHAMP consortium, Münkemüller, T. & Thuiller, W. (2021) Strong links between plant traits and microbial activities but different abiotic drivers in mountain grasslands. Journal of Biogeography, 48(11), 2755-2770 PDF


2020

311- Alsos, I., Lavergne, S., Merkel, M.K.F., Boleda, M., Lammers, Y., Alberti, A., Pouchon, C., Denoeud, F., Pitelkova, I., Puscas, M., Roquet, C., Hurdu, B., Thuiller, W., Zimmermann, N.E., Hollingsworth, P. &  Coissac, E. (2020) The treasure vault can be opened: large scale genome skimming works equally well for herbarium as silica gel dried material. Plants, 9(4), 432; https://doi.org/10.3390/plants9040432 PDF

310- Boonman, C., Benítez-López, A., Schipper, A., Thuiller, W., Anand, M., Cerabolini, B., Cornelissen, J., González-Melo, A., Hattingh, W., Higuchi, P., Laughlin, D., Onipchenko, V., Penuelas, J., Poorter, L., Soudzilovskaia, N., Huijbregts, M., Santini, L. (2020) Assessing the reliability of predicted plant trait distributions at the global scale. Global Ecology & Biogeography, 29, 1034–1051 PDF

309- Brun, P., Psomas, A., Ginzler, C., Thuiller, W., Zappa, M. and Zimmermann, N.E. (2020) Large-scale early-wilting response of Central European forests to the 2018 extreme drought. Global Change Biology, 26 (12), 7021-7035 PDF

308- Brun, P., Thuiller, W., Chauvier, Y., Pellissier, L., Wüest, R.O., Wang, Z. & Zimmermann, N.E. (2020) Model complexity affects species distribution projections under climate change. Journal of Biogeography, 47, 130–142 PDF

307- Calderón-Sanou, I., Münkemüller, T., Boyer, F., Zinger, L. & Thuiller, W. (2020) From environmental DNA sequences to ecological conclusions: How strong is the influence of methodological choices? Journal of Biogeography, 47, 193-206 PDF

306- Cerasoli, F., Thuiller, W., Guéguen, M., Renaud, J., D’Alessandro, P., Biondi, M. (2020) The role of climate and biotic factors in shaping current distributions and potential future shifts of European Neocrepidodera (Coleoptera, Chrysomelidae). Insect Conservation and Diversity, 13, 47-62. PDF

305- Dufour, P., Descamps, S., Chantepie, S., Renaud, J., Guéguen, M., Schiffers, K., Thuiller, W. & Lavergne, S. (2020) Reconstructing the geographic and climatic origins of long distance bird migrations. Journal of Biogeography, 47, 155–166 PDF

304- García-Navas, V. & Thuiller, W. (2020) Farmland bird assemblages exhibit higher functional and phylogenetic diversity than forest assemblages in France. Journal of Biogeography, 47 (11),  2392-2404 PDF

303- Kattge, J,  Bönisch, G,  Díaz, S, et al.  (2020) TRY plant trait database – enhanced coverage and open access. Global Change Biology, 26: 119– 188. PDF

302- Loiseau, N., Mouquet, N., Casajus, N., Grenié, M., Gueguen, M., Maitner, B., Mouillot, D., Ostling, A., Renaud, J., Tucker, C., Velez, L., Thuiller, W. & Violle, C. (2020) Global distribution and conservation status of ecologically rare mammal and bird species. Nature Communications,11, 5071 PDF

301- O'Connor, L.M.J, Pollock, L.J., Braga, J., Ficetola, G.F., Maiorano, L., Martinez-Almoyna, C., Montemaggiori, A., Ohlmann, M. & Thuiller, W. (2020) Unveiling the food webs of tetrapods across Europe through the prism of the Eltonian niche. Journal of Biogeography, 47, 181–192 PDF

300- Maiorano, L., Montemaggiori A., O'Connor, L.M.J., Ficetola G.F., Thuiller W. (2020) TETRA-EU 1.0: A species-level trophic meta-web of European tetrapods. Global Ecology & Biogeography, 29(9), 1452-1457 PDF

299- Martinez-Almoyna, C., Piton, G., Abdulhak, S., Boulangeat, L., Choler, P., Delahay, T., Dentant, C., Foulquier, A., Poulenard, J., Noble, V., Renaud, J., Rome, M., Saillard, A., The ORCHAMP Consortium, Thuiller, W., & Münkemüller, T. (2020) Climate, soil resources and microbial activity shape the distributions of mountain plants based on their functional traits. Ecography, 43, 1550–1559 PDF

298- Münkemüller, T, Gallien, L, Pollock, LJ; Barros, C, Carboni, M, Chalmandrier, L, Mazel, F, Mokany, K, Roquet, C, Smyčka, J, Talluto, M, Thuiller, W. (2020) Do’s and don’ts when inferring assembly rules from diversity patterns. Global Ecology & Biogeography, 29, 1212-1229 PDF

297- Pollock, L.J., O'Connor, L.M.J., Mokany, K., Rosauer, D.F., Talluto, M.V. & Thuiller, W. (2020) Protecting biodiversity (in all its complexity): new models and methods. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 35(12), ‏ 1119-1128 PDF

296- Thuiller, W., Gravel, D., Ficetola, G.F., Lavergne, S., Münkemüller, T., Pollock, L.J., Zimmermann, N.E. & Mazel, F. (2020) Productivity begets less phylogenetic diversity but higher uniqueness than expected. Journal of Biogeography, 47, 44–58 PDF

295- Turtureanu, P.D., Bec, S., Hurdu, B., Saillard, A., Šibík, J., Balázs, Z., Barros, C., Novikov, A., Renaud, J., Podar, D., Thuiller, W., Pușcaș, M., Choler, P. (2020) Biogeography of intraspecific trait variability in matgrass (Nardus stricta): high phenotypic variation at the local scale exceeds large scale variability patterns. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics, 46, 125555 PDF

294- Wüest, R.O., Zimmermann, N.E., Zurell, D., Alexander, J., Fritz, S.A., Hof, C., Kreft, H., Normand, S., Cabral, J.S., Szekely, E., Thuiller, W., Wikelski, M. & Karger, D.N. (2020) Macroecology in the age of big data – where to go from here? Journal of Biogeography, 47, 1–12 PDF

293- Zurell, D., Franklin, J., Bouchet, P.J., Dormann, C.F., Elith, J., Fandos Guzman, G., Feng, X., Guillera-Arroita, G., Guisan, A., König, C., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Leitão, P.J., Park, D.S., Peterson, A.T., Rapacciuolo, G., Schmatz, D., Schröder, B., Serra-Diaz, J.M., Thuiller, W., Yates, K.L., Zimmermann, N.E. and Merow, C. (2020) A standard protocol for reporting species distribution models. Ecography, 43, 1261–1277 PDF


2019

292- Braga, J., Pollock, L.P., Barros, C, Galiana, N., Montoya, J., Gravel, D., Maiorano, L., Montemaggiori, A., Ficetola, G.F., Dray, S. & Thuiller, W. (2019) Spatial analyses of multi-trophic terrestrial vertebrate assemblages in Europe. Global Ecology & Biogeography, 28, 1636–1648 PDF

291- Brun, P., Zimmermann, N.E., Graham, C.H., Lavergne, S., Pellissier, L., Münkemüller, T. & Thuiller, W. The biodiversity-productivity relationship varies across diversity dimensions. Nature Communications. 10:5691 | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-13678-1

290- Chalmandrier, L., Pansu, J., Zinger, L., Boyer, F., Coissac, E., Génin, A., Gielly, L., Lavergne, S., Legay, N., Schilling, V., Taberlet, P., Münkemüller, T. & Thuiller, W. Environmental and biotic drivers of soil microbial β-diversity across spatial and phylogenetic scale. Ecography, 42: 2144–2156 PDF

289- Falaschi, M., Manenti, R., Thuiller, W. and Ficetola, F.G. Continental-scale determinants of population trends in European amphibians and reptiles. Global Change Biology, 25 (10), 3504-3515 PDF

288- Klonner, G., Wessely, J., Gattringer, A., Moser, D., Dullinger, I., Hülber, K., Rumpf, S., Block, S., Bossdorf, O., Carboni, M., Conti, L., Dawson, W., Haeuser, E., Hermy, M., Münkemüller, T., Parepa, M., Thuiller, W., Van der Veken, S., Verheyen, K., van Kleunen, M., Essl, F., Dullinger, S. Effects of climate change and horticultural use on the spread of naturalized alien garden plants in Europe. Ecography, 42(9), 1548-1557 PDF

287- Kukkala, A., Maiorano, L., Thuiller, W. & Arponen, A. (2019). Identifying national responsibility species based on spatial conservation prioritization. Biological Conservation, 236, 411-419 PDF

286- Martinez-Almoyna, C., Thuiller, W., Chalmandrier, L., Clément, J.C., Foulquier, A., Ohlmann, M., Zinger, L. & Münkemüller, T. Multi-trophic beta-diversity mediates the effect of environmental gradients on the turnover of multiple ecosystem functions. Functional Ecology, 33(10) 2053-2064 PDF

285- McLean, M., Auber, A., Graham, N.A.J., Houk, P., Villéger, S., Violle, C., Thuiller, W., Wilson, S.K. & Mouillot, D. Trait structure and redundancy determine sensitivity to disturbance in marine fish communities.  Global Change Biology, 25(10) 3424-3437 PDF

284- Norberg, A., Abrego, N.F., Blanchet, G., Adler, F., Anderson, B.J., Anttila, J., Araújo, M.B., Clark, J.,  Dallas, T., Dunson, D., Elith J., Foster, S.D., Fox, R., Franklin, J., Godsoe, W., Guisan, A., O’Hara, B., Hill, N.A., Holt, R.D., Hui, F.K.C, Husby, M., Kålås, J., Lehikoinen, A., Luoto, M., Mod, H.K., Newell, G., Renner, I., Roslin, T., Soininen, J., Thuiller, W., Vanhatalo, J., Warton, D., White, M., Zimmermann, N.E., Gravel, D., & Ovaskainen, O. (2019) A comprehensive evaluation of predictive performance of 33 species distribution models at species and community levels. Ecological Monographs, 89(3):e01370 DOI: .1002/ecm.1370 PDF

283- Ohlmann, M., Miele, V., Dray, S., Chalmandrier, L., O’Connor, L. & Thuiller, W. (2019) Diversity indices for ecological networks: a unifying framework using Hill numbers. Ecology Letters, 22, 737-747 PDF

282- Peterson, A. T., Anderson, R. P., Beger, M. , Bolliger, J. , Brotons, L. , Burridge, C. P., Cobos, M. E., Cuervo‐Robayo, A. P., Di Minin, E. , Diez, J. , Elith, J. , Embling, C. B., Escobar, L. E., Essl, F. , Feeley, K. J., Hawkes, L. , Jiménez‐García, D. , Jimenez, L. , Green, D. M., Knop, E. , Kühn, I. , Lahoz‐Monfort, J. J., Lira‐Noriega, A. , Lobo, J. M., Loyola, R. , Mac Nally, R. , Machado‐Stredel, F. , Martínez‐Meyer, E. , McCarthy, M. , Merow, C. , Nori, J. , Nuñez‐Penichet, C. , Osorio-Olvera, L. , Pyšek, P. , Rejmánek, M. , Ricciardi, A. , Robertson, M. , Rojas Soto, O. , Romero‐Alvarez, D. , Roura‐Pascual, N. , Santini, L. , Schoeman, D. S., Schröder, B. , Soberon, J. , Strubbe, D. , Thuiller, W. , Traveset, A. , Treml, E. A., Václavík, T. , Varela, S. , Watson, J. E., Wiersma, Y. , Wintle, B. , Yanez‐Arenas, C. and Zurell, D. (2019), Open access solutions for biodiversity journals: Do not replace one problem with another. Diversity and Distributions, 25: 5-8. doi:10.1111/ddi.12885

281- Saladin, B., Thuiller, W., Graham, C.H., Lavergne, S., Maiorano, L., Salamin, N. & Zimmermann, N.E. (2019) Environment and evolutionary history shape phylogenetic turnover in European tetrapods. Nature Communications, 10, 249. doi:10.1038/s41467-018-08232-4 PDF

280- Santini, L., Pironon, S., Maiorano, L. & Thuiller, W. (2019) Addressing common pitfalls does not provide more support to geographical and ecological abundant-centre hypotheses. Ecography, 42, 696–705  doi: 10.1111/ecog.04027  PDF

279- Thuiller, W., Guéguen, M., Renaud, J., Karger, D.N., & Zimmermann, N.E. (2019) Uncertainty in ensembles of global biodiversity scenarios. Nature Communications. 10:1146 PDF

278- Zinger, L., Taberlet, P., Schimann, H., Bonin, A., Boyer, F., de Barba, M., Gaucher, P., Gielly, L., Giguet-Covex, C., Iribar, A., Réjou-Méchain, M., Rayé, G., Rioux, D., Schilling, W., Tymen, B., Viers, J., Zouiten, C., Thuiller, W., Coissac, E., & Chave, J. (2019) Body-size determinants of soil community assembly in a tropical forest. Molecular Ecology, 28, 528-543 PDF


2018

277- Barros, C., Thuiller, W. and Münkemüller, T. (2018) Drought changes the effects of climate warming on forest-grassland ecotone stability. Plos One, 13(10): e0206138 PDF

276- Braga, J., ter Braak, C.J.F., Thuiller, W. & Dray, S. A novel approach to consider phylogenetic and spatial autocorrelations when testing for trait-environment relationships. Ecology, 99, 2667-2674 PDF

275- Carboni, M., Calderon-Sanou, I., Pollock, L.J., Violle, C., DivGrass Consortium & Thuiller, W. (2018) Functional traits modulate the response of alien plants to abiotic and biotic gradients. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 27, 1173-1185 PDF

274- Carboni, M., Guéguen, M., Barros, C., Georges, D., Boulangeat, I., Douzet, R., Dullinger, S., Klonner, G., van Kleunen, M., Essl, F., Bossdorf, O., Haeuser, E., Talluto, M., Moser, D., Block, S., Dullinger, I., Münkemüller, T., & Thuiller, W. (2018) Simulating plant invasion dynamics in mountain ecosystems under global change scenarios. Global Change Biology, 24, e289–e302, PDF

273- Conti, L., Block, S., Parepa, M., Münkemüller, T., Thuiller, W., Acosta, A.T.R., van Kleunen, M.,  Dullinger, S., Essl, F., Dullinger, I., Moser, D., Klonner, G., Bossdorf, O. & Carboni, C. (2018) Functional trait differences and trait plasticity mediate biotic resistance to potential plant invaders. Journal of Ecology, 106, 1607-1620 PDF

272- D'Amen, M., Mateo, R.G., Pottier, J., Thuiller, W., Maiorano, L., Pelissier, L., Ndiribe, C., Salamin, N. and Guisan, A. (2018) Improving spatial predictions of taxonomic, functional and phylogenetic diversity. Journal of Ecology, 106, 76-86 PDF

271- Dormann, C., Guillera-Arroita, G., Calabrese, J., Matechou, E., Bahn, V., Bartón, K., Beale, C., Ciuti, S., Elith, J., Gerstner, K., Guélat, J., Keil, P., Lahoz-Monfort, J., Lennon, J., Pollock, L.S., Reineking, B., Roberts, D., Schroeder, B., Thuiller, W., Warton, D., Wintle, B., Wood, S., Wüest, R., Hartig, F. Model averaging in ecology: a review of Bayesian, information-theoretic and tactical approaches. Ecological Monographs, 88(4) 485-504 PDF

270- Haeuser, E., Dawson, W., Thuiller, W., Dullinger, S., Block, S., Bossdorf, O., Carboni, M., Conti, L., Dullinger, I., Essl, F., Klonner, G., Moser, D., Münkemüller, T., Parepa, M., Talluto, M., Kreft, H., Pergl, J., Pyšek, P., Weigelt, P., Winter, M., Hermy, M., Van der Veken, S., Roquet, C. & van Kleunen, M. (2018) The European ornamental garden flora as an impending invasion debt under climate change. Journal of Applied Ecology, 55(5) 2386-2395 PDF

269- Kim, H., Rosa, I. M. D., Alkemade, R., Leadley, P., Hurtt, G., Popp, A., van Vuuren, D. P., Anthoni, P., Arneth, A., Baisero, D., Caton, E., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Chini, L., De Palma, A., Di Fulvio, F., Di Marco, M., Espinoza, F., Ferrier, S., Fujimori, S., Gonzalez, R. E., Gueguen, M., Guerra, C., Harfoot, M., Harwood, T. D., Hasegawa, T., Haverd, V., Havlík, P., Hellweg, S., Hill, S. L. L., Hirata, A., Hoskins, A. J., Janse, J. H., Jetz, W., Johnson, J. A., Krause, A., Leclère, D., Martins, I. S., Matsui, T., Merow, C., Obersteiner, M., Ohashi, H., Poulter, B., Purvis, A., Quesada, B., Rondinini, C., Schipper, A., Sharp, R., Takahashi, K., Thuiller, W., Titeux, N., Visconti, P., Ware, C., Wolf, F., and Pereira, H.M (2018) A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios, Geoscientific Model Development, 11, 4537-4562 PDF

268- Ohlmann, M., Mazel, F., Chalmandrier, L., Bec, S., Chave, J., Coissac, E., Gielly, L., Pansu, J., Schilling, V., Taberlet, P., Zinger, L. & Thuiller, W. (2018) Mapping the imprint of biotic interactions on β-diversity. Ecology Letters, 21, 1660-1669 PDF

267- Pellissier, L., Albouy, C., Bascompte, J., Farwig, N., Graham, C., Loreau, M., Maglianesi, M., Melian, C., Pitteloud, C., Roslin, T., Rohr, R., Saavedra, S., Thuiller, W., Woodward, G., Zimmermann, N.E. & Gravel, D. (2018) Comparing species interaction networks along environmental gradients. Biological Reviews, 93(2) 785-800 PDF

266- Pironon, S., Villellas, J., Thuiller, W., Eckhart, V.M., Geber, M.A., Moeller, D.A., & García, M.B. The 'Hutchinsonian niche' as an assemblage of demographic niches: implications for species geographic ranges. Ecography, 41, 1103-1113 PDF

265- Santini, L., Isaac, N.J.B, Maiorano, L., Ficetola, G.F., Huijbregts, M.A.J., Carbone, C. & Thuiller, W. (2018) Global drivers of population density in terrestrial vertebrates. Global Ecology and Biogeography 27(8), 968-979 PDF

264- Sheppard, C.S., Carboni, C., Ess, F., Seebens, H., DivGrass Consortium & Thuiller, W. (2018) It takes one to know one: similarity to resident alien species increases establishment success of new invaders. Diversity and Distributions, 24(5), 680-691. PDF

263- Talluto, M.V., Mokany, K., Pollock, L.J. & Thuiller, W. (2018) Multifaceted biodiversity modelling at macroecological scales using Gaussian Processes. Diversity and Distributions, 24, 1492-1502  PDF

262- Thuiller, W., Guéguen, M., Bison, M., Duparc, A., Garel, M., Loison, A., Renaud, J. & Poggiato, G. (2018) Combining point-process and landscape vegetation models to predict large herbivore distributions in space and time – a case study of Rupicapra rupicapra. Diversity and Distributions, 24, 352-362 PDF

261- Tonnabel, J., Schurr, F.M., Boucher, F., Thuiller, W., Renaud, J., Douzery, E.J.P. & Ronce, O. (2018) Life history traits evolved jointly with climatic niche and disturbance regime in the genus Leucadendron (Proteaceae). The American Naturalist, 191(2), 220-234 PDF

260- Yates, K.L., Bouchet, P.J., Caley, M.J., Mengersen, K., Randin, C.F., Parnell, S., Fielding, A.H.,  Bamford, A.J., Ban, S., Barbosa, A.M., Dormann, C.F., Elith, J., Embling, C.B., Ervin, G.N, Fisher, R., Gould, S., Graf, R.F., Gregr, E.J., Halpin, P., Heikkinen, R.K., Heinänen, S., Jones, A.R., Krishnakumar, P.K., Lauria, V., Lozano-Montes, H., Mannocci, L., Mellin, C., Mesgaran, M.B., Moreno-Amat, E., Mormede, S., Novaczek, E., Oppel, S., Crespo, G.O., Peterson, A.T., Rapacciuolo, G., Roberts, J.J., Ross, R.E., Scales, K.L., Schoeman, D., Snelgrove, P., Sundblad, G., Thuiller, W., Torres, L.G., Verbruggen, H., Wang, L., Wenger, S., Whittingham, M.J., Zharikov, Y., Zurell, D., Sequeira, A.M.M. Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 33, 790-802 PDF

259- Wüest, R.O., Lavergne, S., Münkemüller, T., Pollock, L.S., & Thuiller, W. (2018)  Integrating correlation between traits improves spatial predictions of functional diversity patterns. Oikos, 127, 472-481 PDF

258- Zurell, D., Graham, C.H., Gallien, L, Thuiller, W., & Zimmermann, N.E. (2018) Long-distance migratory birds threatened by multiple independent risks from global change. Nature Climate Change, 8, 992–996. PDF

257- Zurell, D., Pollock, L.J. & Thuiller, W. (2018) Do joint species distribution models reliably detect interspecific interactions from co-occurrence data in homogenous environments? Ecography, 41(11), 1812-1819 PDF


2017

256- Barros, C., Guéguen, M., Douzet, R., Carboni, M., Boulangeat, I., Zimmermann, N.E., Münkemüller, T., and Thuiller, W. (2017) Extreme climate events counteract the effects of climate and land-use changes on Alpine treelines. Journal of Applied Ecology, 54, 39-50 PDF

255- Carlson, B.Z., Corona, M.C., Dentant, C., Bonet, R., Thuiller, W., & Choler, P. Observed long-term greening of alpine vegetation – a case study in the French Alps. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 114006 PDF

254- Chalmandrier, L., Münkemüller, T., Colace, M.-P., Renaud, J., Aubert, S., Carlson, B.Z., Clément, J.-C., Legay, N., Pellet, G., Saillard, A., Lavergne, S. & Thuiller, W. Spatial scale and intraspecific trait variability mediate assembly rules in alpine grasslands. Journal of Ecology, 105, 277-287 PDF

253- Cotto, O., Wessely, J., Klonner, G., Dullinger, S., Thuiller, W. & Guillaume, F. (2017) Slow eco-evolutionary response of Alpine plants to climate warming. Nature Communications, 8:15399, 10.1038/ncomms15399 PDF

252- Dullinger, I., Wessely, J., Klonner, G., Moser, D., Gattringer, A., Kuttner, M., Essl, F., van Kleunen, M., Thuiller, W., P., Pergl, J., Dawson, W., Bossdorf, O., Weigelt, P., Winter, M., Holger, K., Dullinger, S. (2017) Climate change will increase the naturalization risk from garden plants in Europe. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 26, 43-53 PDF

251- Ficetola, G.F, Mazel, F., & Thuiller, W. Global determinants of zoogeographical boundaries. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 1, 0089 (published on 6 March 2017) PDF

250- Gallardo, B., Aldridge, D.C., González-Moreno, P., Perg, J., Pizarro, M., Pyšek, P., Thuiller, W., Yesson, C., & Vilà, M. (2017) Protected Areas offer refuge from invasive species spreading under climate change. Global Change Biology, 23, 5331–5343 PDF

249- Groussin, M., Mazel, F., Sanders, J., Smillie, C., Lavergne, S., Thuiller, W. and Alm, E. (2017) Unraveling the processes shaping mammalian gut microbiomes over evolutionary time. Nature Communications, 8, 14319, doi:10.1038/ncomms14319 PDF

248- Klonner, G., Dullinger, I., Wessely, J., Bossdorf, O., Carboni, C. Dawson, W., Essl, F., Gattringer, A., Haeuser, E., van Kleunen, M., Kreft, H., Moser, D., Pergl, J., Pyšek, P., Thuiller, W., Weigelt, P., Winter, M., & Dullinger, S. (2017) Will climate change increase hybridization risk between potential plant invaders and their congeners in Europe? Diversity and Distributions, 23, 934-943 PDF

247- Mazel, F., Wüest, R.O., Gueguen, M., Renaud, J., Ficetola, G.F., Lavergne, S. & Thuiller, W. (2017) The geography of ecological niche evolution in mammals. Current Biology, 27, 1369-1374 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2017.03.046    [editorial note from L.J. Harmon  here]

246- Mazel, F., Wüest, R.O, Renaud, J., Lessard, J.-P., Ficetola, F.G., Lavergne, S., & Thuiller, W. Global patterns of β-diversity along the phylogenetic timescale: the role of climate and plate tectonics. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 26, 1211-1221 PDF

245- Pollock, L.J., Thuiller, W. & Jetz, W. Large conservation gains possible for global biodiversity facets. Nature, 546, 141-144 PDF

244- Roberts, D.R., Bahn, V., Ciuti, S., Boyce, M.S., Elith, J., Guillera-Arroita, G., Hauenstein, S., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Schröder, B., Thuiller, W., Warton, D.I., Wintle, B.A., Hartig, F. & Dormann, G.F. Cross-validation strategies for data with temporal, spatial, hierarchical, or phylogenetic structure. Ecography, 40, 913-929 DOI: 10.1111/ecog.02881 PDF

243- Smycka, J., Roquet, C., Renaud, J., Thuiller, W., Zimmermann, N.E. & Lavergne, S. Disentangling drivers of plant endemism and diversification in the Alps - a phylogenetic and spatially explicit approach. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics, 28, 19-27 PDF

242- Spake, R., Lasseur, R., Crouzat, E., Bullock, J., Lavorel, S., Parks, K., Schaafsma, M., Bennett, E., Maes, J., Mulligan, M., Mouchet, M., Peterson, G., Schulp, C., Thuiller, W., Turner, M.,  Verburg, P. & Eigenbrod, F. (2017) Unpacking ecosystem service bundles: towards predictive mapping of synergies and trade-offs between ecosystem services. Global Environmental Change, 47, 37-50 PDF

241- Talluto, M.V., Boulangeat, I., Vissault, S., Thuiller, W. & Gravel, D. Extinction debt and colonization credit delay range shifts of eastern North American trees. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 1, 0182 PDF

240- Titeux, N., Maes, D., Van Daele, T., Onkelinx, T., Heikkinen, R.K., Benito, H.R., García-Barros, E., Munguira, M.L., Thuiller, W., van Swaay, C.A.M, Schweiger, O., Settele, J., Harpke, A., Wiemers, M., Brotons, L., & Luoto, M. The need for large-scale distribution data to estimate regional changes in species richness under future climate change. Diversity and Distributions, 23, 1393-1407 PDF

239- Violle, C., Thuiller, W., Mouquet, N., Munoz, F., Kraft, N.J.B., Cadotte, M.W., Livingstone, S.W. & Mouillot, D. (2017) Functional rarity: the ecology of outliers. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 32, 356-367 PDF

238- Violle, C., Thuiller, W., Mouquet, N., Munoz, F., Kraft, N.J.B., Cadotte, M.W., Livingstone, S.W., Grenie, M. & Mouillot, D. A common toolbox to understand, monitor or manage rarity? A response to Carmona et al. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 32 (12) 891-893 PDF

237- Zhang, J., Nielsen, S.E., Chen, Y., Georges, D., Qin, Y., Wang, S., Svenning, J.C. and Thuiller, W. (2017) Extinction risk of North American seed plants elevated by climate and land-use. Journal of Applied Ecology, 54, 303–312 PDF


2016

236- Barros, C., Thuiller, W., Georges, D., Boulangeat, I., & Münkemüller, T. N-dimensional hypervolumes to study stability of complex ecosystems. Ecology Letters, 19, 729-742 PDF SuppInfo

235- Bellard, C., Leroy, B., Thuiller, W., Rysman, J.-F. & Courchamp, F. Major drivers of invasion risks throughout the world. Ecosphere 7(3):e01241. 10.1002/ecs2.1241 PDF

234- Carboni, M., Münkemüller, T., Lavergne, S., Choler, P., Borgy, B., Violle, C., Essl, F., Roquet, C.,  Munoz, F., DivGrass Consortium, & Thuiller, W. What it takes to invade grassland ecosystems: traits, introduction history and filtering processes. Ecology Letters, 19, 219-229 PDF  SuppInfo

233- Ficetola, G.F, Colleoni, E., Renaud, J., Scali, S., Padoa-Schioppa, E., and Thuiller, W. Morphological variation in salamanders and their potential response to climate change. Global Change Biology, 22, 2013-2424 PDF

232- Gallien, L., Thuiller, W., Fort, N. Boleda, M. Alberto, F.J., Rioux, D., Lainé, J. & Lavergne, S. Is there any evidence for rapid, genetically-based, climatic niche expansion in the invasive common ragweed? Plos One, 11(4), e0152867 PDF

231- Gravel, D., Albouy, C. & Thuiller, W. The meaning of functional trait structure and diversity to food web dynamics. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 371, 20150268 PDF

230- Kirchheimer, B., Schinkel, C.C.F., Dellinger, A.S., Klatt, S., Moser, D., Winkler, M., Lenoir, J., Caccianiga, M., Guisan, A., Nieto-Lugilde, D., Svenning, J.-C., Thuiller, W., Vittoz, P., Willner, W., Zimmermann, N.E., Hörandl, E., and Dullinger, S. A matter of scale: Apparent niche differentiation of di- and tetraploid plants may depend on extent and grain of analysis. Journal of Biogeography, 43, 716-726 PDF

229- Kukkala, A., Arponena, A., Maiorano, L., Moilanen, A., Thuiller, W., Toivonen, T., Zupan, L., Brotons, L., and Cabeza, M. Matches and mismatches between national and EU-wide priorities: examining the potential of the Natura 2000 network in species conservation. Biological Conservation, 198, 193-201 PDF

228- Mazel, F., Davies, T.J, Gallien L., Groussin, M., Münkemüller T. & Thuiller, W. Influence of tree shape and evolutionary time-scale on phylogenetic diversity metrics. Ecography, 39, 913-920 PDF

227- Mazel, F., Davies, T.J., Georges, D., Lavergne, S., Thuiller, W. & Perez-Neto, P.R. Improving phylogenetic regression under complex evolutionary models. Ecology, 97, 286-293 PDF

226- Mouillot, D., Parravicini, V., Bellwood, D.R., Leprieur, F., Huang, D., Cowman, P.F., Albouy, C., Hughes, T.P., Thuiller, W., Guilhaumon, F. (2016) Global marine protected areas fail to secure the Tree of Life on coral reefs. Nature Communications, 7, 10359 PDF

225- Roquet, C., Coissac, E., Cruaud, C., Boleda, M., Boyer, F., Alberti, A., Gielly, L., Taberlet, P., Thuiller, W., Van Es, J., & Lavergne, S. (2016) Understanding the evolution of holoparasitic plants: the complete plastid genome of the holoparasite Cytinus hypocistis (Cytinaceae). Annals of Botany, 118, 885-896 PDF

224- Talluto, M., Boulangeat, I., Ameztegui, A., Aubin, I., Berteaux, D., Butler, A., Doyon, F., Drever, C.R., Fortin, M.-J., Franceschini, T., Liénard, J., McKenney, D., Solarik, K.A., Strigul , N., Thuiller, W. and Gravel, D. (2016) Cross-scale integration of knowledge for predicting species ranges: a metamodeling framework. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 25(2) 238-249 DOI: 10.1111/geb.12395 PDF SI Code

223- Zurell, D., Thuiller, W., Pagel J., Cabral, J.S., Münkemüller, M., Gravel, D., Dullinger, S., Normand, S., Schiffers, K.H., Moore, K.A., Zimmermann, N.E. (2016) Benchmarking novel approaches for modelling species range dynamics. Global Change Biology, 22, 2651–2664 PDF


2015

222- Andrello, M., Mouillot, D., Somot, S., Thuiller, W. & Manel, S. (2015) Additive effects of climate change on connectivity among marine protected areas and larval supply to fished areas. Diversity and Distributions, 21, 139-150 PDF

221- Andrello, M., Nilsson Jacobi, M., Manel, S., Thuiller, W. & Mouillot, D. (2015) Extending networks of protected areas to optimize connectivity and population growth rate. Ecography, 38: 273–282, doi: 10.1111/ecog.00975 PDF

220- Carlson, B.Z., Choler, P., Renaud, J., Dedieu, J.-P., & Thuiller, W. Modelling snow cover duration improves predictions of functional and taxonomic diversity for alpine plant communities. Annals of Botany, 116, 1023-1034 PDF

219- Chalmandrier, L., Münkemüller, T., Devictor, V., Lavergne, S. & Thuiller, W. (2015) Decomposing changes in phylogenetic and functional diversity over space and time. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 6, 109-118 PDF

218- Chalmandrier, L., Münkemüller, T., Lavergne, S. & Thuiller, W. Effects of species' similarity and dominance on the functional and phylogenetic structure of a plant meta-community. Ecology, 96, 143-153  PDF

217- Gallien, L., Mazel, F., Lavergne, S., Roquet, C., Renaud, J., Douzet, R. & Thuiller, W. Contrasting the effects of environment, dispersal and biotic interactions to explain the distribution of invasive plants in alpine communities. Biological Invasions, 17, 1407-1423 PDF

216- Mazel, F., Renaud, J., Guilhaumon, F., Mouillot, D., Gravel, D. & Thuiller, W. (2015) Mammalian phylogenetic diversity-area relationships at a continental scale. Ecology, 96(10), 2814-2822 PDF

215- Meller, L., Thuiller, W., Pironon, S., Barbet-Massin, M., Hof, A., & Cabeza, M. (2015) Balance between climate change and bioenergy: conservation implications for European birds. Global Change Biology - Bioenergy, 7, 741-751 PDF

214- Mouchet, M.A., Levers, C., Zupan, Z., Kuemmerle, T., Plutzar, C., Erb, K., Lavorel, S., Thuiller, W., Haberl, H. Testing the effectiveness of environmental variables to explain European terrestrial vertebrate species richness across biogeographical scales. Plos One, 10 (7) e0131924. PDF

213- Mouquet, N., Lagadeuc, Y., Devictor, V., Doyen, L., Duputié, A., Eveillard, D., Faure, D., Garnier, E., Gimenez, O., Huneman, P., Jabot, F., Jarne, P., Joly, D., Julliard, R., Kéfi, S., Kergoat, G.J., Lavorel, S., Le Gall, L., Meslin, L., Morand, S., Morin, X., Morlon, H., Pinay, G., Pradel, R., Schurr, F.M., Thuiller, W., & Loreau, M. Predictive ecology in a changing world. Journal of Applied Ecology, 52, 1293-1310 PDF

212- Münkemüller,T., Boucher, F., Thuiller, W., and Lavergne, S. (2015) Phylogenetic niche conservatism - common pitfalls and ways forward. Functional Ecology, 29, 627-639 PDF

211- Nieto-Lugilde, D., Lenoir, J., Abdulhak, S., Aeschimann, D., Dullinger, S., Gégout, J.-C., Guisan, A., Pauli, H., Renaud, J., Theurillat, J.-P., Thuiller, W. Van Es, J., Vittoz, P., Willner, W., Wohlgemuth, T., Zimmermann, N.E., & Svenning, J.-C. Tree cover at fine and coarse spatial grains interacts with shade tolerance to shape plant species distributions across the Alps. Ecography, 38, 578-589 doi: 10.1111/ecog.00954 PDF

210- Thuiller, W., Maiorano, L., Mazel, F., Guilhaumon, F., Ficetola, G.F., Lavergne, S., Renaud, J., Roquet, C. and Mouillot, D. 2015. Conserving the functional and phylogenetic trees of life of European tetrapods. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 20140005.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2014.0005 PDF SuppMat

209- Thuiller, W., Pollock, L.J., Gueguen, M. and Münkemüller, T. From species distributions to meta-communities. Ecology Letters, 18, 1321-1328, doi: 10.1111/ele.12526 PDF Appendices

208- Wasof, S., Lenoir, J., Aarrestad, P.A., Alsos, I.G., Armbruster, W.S., Austrheim, G., Bakkestuen, V., Birks, H.J.B., Bråthen, K.A., Broennimann, O., Brunet, J., Bruun, H.H., Dahlberg, C.J., Dieckmann, M., Dullinger, S., Dynesius, M., Ejrnæs, R., Gégout, J.-C., Graae, B.J., Grytnes, J.A., Guisan, A., Hylander, K., Jónsdóttir, I.S., Kapfer, J., Klanderud, K., Luoto, M., Milbau, A., Moora, M., Nygaard, B., Odland, A., Pauli, H., Ravolainen, V., Reinhardt, S., Sandvik, S.M., Schei, F.H., Speed, J., Svenning, J.-C., Thuiller, W., Tveraabak, L.U., Vandvik, V., Velle, L.G., Virtanen, R., Vittoz, P., Willner, W., Wohlgemuth, T., Zimmermann, N.E., Zobel, M., Decocq, G. Disjoint populations of European vascular plant species keep the same climatic niches. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24 (12) 1401-1412 PDF 

207- Zhang, J., Nielsen, S.E., Stolar, J., Chen, Y. and Thuiller, W. Gains and losses of plant species and phylogenetic diversity for a northern high-latitude region. Diversity and Distributions, 21, 1441-1454 PDF

2014

206- Bellard, C., Leclerc, C., Leroy, B., Bakkeness, M., Veloz, S., Thuiller, W. & Courchamp, F. (2014) Vulnerability of biodiversity hotspots to global change. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 23, 1376-1386 PDF

205- Boucher, F., Thuiller, W., Davies, J.T. & Lavergne, S. (2014) Neutral biogeography and the evolution of climatic niches. The American Naturalist, 183,  573-584  PDF

204- Boulangeat, I., Georges, D., Dentant, C., Bonet, R., Van Es J., Abdulhak, S., Zimmermann, N. & Thuiller W. (2014) Anticipating the spatio-temporal response of plant diversity and vegetation structure to climate and land use change in a protected area. Ecography, 37, 1230–1239   PDF

203- Boulangeat, I. Georges, D. & Thuiller, W. (2014) FATE-HD: A spatially and temporally explicit integrated model for predicting the vegetation structure and diversity at regional scale. Global Change Biology, 20, 2368-2378  PDF

202- Carlson, B.Z., Choler, P., Delestrade, A., Gardent, M., Georges, D., Rabatel, A., Randin, C., Renaud, J., Zimmermann, N.E. & Thuiller, W. (2014) Accounting for treeline shift, glacier retreat and primary succession in mountain plant distribution models. Diversity and Distributions,20, 1379-1391 PDF

201- Dray, S., Choler, P., Dolédec, S., Peres-Neto, P.R., Thuiller, W., Pavoine, S., ter Braak, C.J.F. (2014) Combining the fourth-corner and the RLQ methods for assessing the trait responses to environmental variation. Ecology, 95, 14-21  PDF

200- Fernandes, R.F., Vicente, J.R., Georges, D., Alves, P., Thuiller, W. & Honrado, J.P. (2014) A novel downscaling approach to predict plant invasions and improve local conservation actions. Biological Invasions, 16, 2577-2590 PDF

199- Gimenez, O., Buckland, S.T., Morgan, B.J.T., Bez, N., Bertrand, S., Choquet, R., Dray, S., Etienne, M.-P., Fewster, R., Gosselin, F., Mérigot, B., Monestiez, P., Morales, J., Mortier, F., Munoz, F., Ovaskainen, O., Pavoine, S., Pradel, R., Schurr, F.M., Thomas, L., Thuiller, W., Trenkel, V., de Valpine P., Rexstad, E. (2014) Statistical ecology comes of age. Biology Letters, 10, 20140698

198- Homolová, L., Schaepman, M.E., Lamarque, P., Clevers, J.G.P.W., de Bello, F., Thuiller, W. & Lavorel, S. Comparison of remote sensing and plant trait-based modelling to predict ecosystem services in subalpine grasslands. Ecosphere, 5, 100. PDF

197- Lung, T., Meller, L., van Teeffelen, A., Thuiller, W. & Cabeza, M. (2014) Biodiversity funds and conservation needs in the EU under climate change. Conservation Letters, 7, 390-400 PDF

196- Mazel, F., Guilhaumon, F., Mouquet, N., Devictor, V., Gravel, D., Renaud, J., Cianciaruso, M.V., Loyola, R.D., Diniz-Filho, J.A.F., Mouillot, D. & Thuiller, W. (2014) Multifaceted diversity-area relationships reveal global hotspots of mammalian species, trait and lineage diversity. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 23, 836–847 PDF

195- Meller, L., Cabeza, M., Pironon, S., Barbet-Massin, M., Maiorano, L. & Thuiller, W. (2014) Ensemble distribution models in conservation prioritization: from consensus predictions to consensus reserve networks. Diversity and Distributions, 20, 309-321 PDF

194- Merow, C., Smith, M.J., Thuiller, W., Zimmermann, N.E., Edwards, Jr., T.C., Guisan, A., Normand, S., Wüest, R., & Elith, J. What do we gain from simplicity versus complexity in species distribution models? Ecography, 37, 1267–1281 PDF

193- Monnet, A.-C., Jiguet, F., Meynard, C.N., Mouillot, D., Mouquet, N., Thuiller, W. & Devictor, V. (2014) Asynchrony of taxonomic, functional, and phylogenetic diversity in birds. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 23, 780-788 PDF

192- Münkemüller,T., Gallien, L.,  Lavergne, S., Renaud, J., Roquet, C., Dullinger, S., Guisan, A., Lenoir, J., Svenning, J.-C., Vittoz, P., Willner, W., Wohlgemuth, T., Zimmermann, N.E. and Thuiller, W. (2014) Scale decisions can reverse conclusions on community assembly processes. Global Ecology and Biogeography 23, 620-632    DOI: 10.1111/geb.12137  PDF

191- Pearman, P.B., Lavergne, S., Roquet, C, Wuest, R., Zimmerman, N.E., & Thuiller, W. (2014) Phylogenetic patterns of climatic, habitat and trophic niches in a European avian assemblage. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 23, 414-424 PDF

190- Pottier, J. Malenovský, Z., Psomas, A., Homolová, L., Schaepman, M.E., Choler, P., Thuiller, W., Guisan, A. & Zimmermannn, N.E. (2014) Modelling plant species distribution and diversity in alpine grasslands using airborne imaging spectroscopy. Biology Letters, 10, 20140347  PDF

189- Roquet, C., Lavergne, S. & Thuiller. W. (2014) One tree to link them all: a phylogenetic dataset for the European Tetrapoda. PLOS Currents Tree of Life. 2014 Aug 8. Edition 1. doi: 10.1371/currents.tol.5102670fff8aa5c918e78f5592790e48 PDF

188- Schiffers, K., Schurr, K.M., Travis, J.M.J, Duputié, A., Eckhart, V.M., Lavergne, S., McInerny, G., Moore, K., Pearman, P.B., Thuiller, W., Wüest, R. & Holt, R.D. (2014) Landscape structure and genetic architecture jointly impact rates of niche evolution. Ecography, 37, 1218–1229 PDF

187- Schulp, C.J.E., Thuiller W., Verburg, P.H. Wild food in Europe: a synthesis of knowledge and data of terrestrial wild food as an ecosystem service. Ecological Economics. 105, 292-305 PDF  SuppMat

181- Svenning, J.C., Gravel, D., Holt, R.D., Schurr, F.M., Thuiller, W., Dullinger, S., Hickler, T., Higgins, S., Münkemüller, T., Nabel, J., Pagel, J., Schiffers, K., & Normand, S. (2014) The influence of biotic interactions on species range expansion rates. Ecography, 37, 1198–1209 PDF

186- Thuiller, W. (2014)  Editorial commentary on “BIOMOD – optimizing predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change" Global Change Biology, 20, 3591–3592 PDF

185- Thuiller, W. (2014)  Editorial commentary on “Patterns and uncertainties of species’ range shifts under climate change". Global Change Biology, 20, 3593–3594 PDF

184- Thuiller, W., Guéguen, M., Georges, D., Bonet, R., Chalmandrier, L., Garraud, L., Renaud, J., Roquet, C., Van Es, J., Zimmermann, N.E. & Lavergne, S. (2014) Are different facets of plant diversity well protected against climate and land use changes? A test study in the French Alps. Ecography, 37, 1254–1266  PDF SuppMat

183- Thuiller, W., Münkemüller, T., Schiffers, K.H., Georges, D., Dullinger, S., Eckhart, V.M., Edwards, T.C., Gravel, D., Kunstler, G., Merow, C., Moore, K., Piedallu, C., Vissault, S., Zimmermann, N.E., Zurell, D. and Schurr, F.M. (2014) Does probability of occurrence relate to population dynamics? Ecography, 37, 1155–1166   SuppMat   PDF

182- Thuiller, W., Pironon, S., Psomas, A., Barbet-Massin, M., Jiguet, F., Lavergne S., Pearman, P.B., Renaud, J., Zupan, L. and Zimmermann, N.E. (2014) The European functional tree of bird life in face of global change. Nature Communications, 5, 3118 DOI: 10.1038/ncomms4118 PDF

180- Zupan, L., Cabeza, M., Maiorano, L., Roquet, C., Devictor, V., Lavergne, S., Mouillot, D., Mouquet, N., Renaud, J. & Thuiller, W. (2014) Spatial mismatch of phylogenetic diversity across three vertebrate groups and protected areas in Europe. Diversity and Distributions, 20, 674-685 PDF SuppMat


2013

179- Andrello, M., Mouillot, D., Beuvier, J., Albouy, C., Thuiller, W. & Manel, S. (2013) Low Connectivity between Mediterranean Marine Protected Areas: A Biophysical Modeling Approach for the Dusky Grouper Epinephelus marginatus. PLoS ONE, 8, e68564. PDF

178- Bellard, C., Thuiller, W., Leroy, B., Genovesi, P., Bakkenes, M. & Courchamp, F. (2013) Will climate change promote future invasions? Global Change Biology 19: 3740–3748  PDF

177- Bi, Y.-F., Xu, J.-C., Li, Q.-H., Guisan , A., Thuiller, W., Zimmerman, N.E., Yang, Y.-P. & Yang, X.-F. (2013) Applying BioMod for Model Ensemble in Species Distributions: a Case Study for Tsuga chinensis in China. Plant Diversity and Resources, 35, 647-655. PDF

176- Boucher, F., Thuiller, W., Arnoldi, C., Albert, C.H., Lavergne, S., (2013) Unravelling the architecture of functional variability in wild populations of Polygonum viviparum L. Functional Ecology, 27, 382–391 PDF

175- Cabral, J.C., Jeltsch, F., Thuiller, W., Higgins, S., Midgley, G.F., Rebelo, A.G., Rouget, M., & Schurr, F.M. (2013) Impacts of past habitat loss and future climate change on the range dynamics of South African Proteaceae, Diversity and Distributions, 19, 363-376 PDF

174- Carlson, B.Z., Randin, C.F., Boulangeat, I., Lavergne, S., Thuiller, W. & Choler, P. (2013) Working toward integrated models of alpine plant distribution. Alpine Botany, 123: 41-53 PDF

173- Chalmandrier, L., Münkemüller, T., Gallien, L., de Bello, F., Mazel, F., Lavergne, S., Thuiller, W. (2013) A family of null models to distinguish between habitat filtering and biotic interactions in functional diversity patterns. Journal of Vegetation Science, 24: 853–864 PDF

172- Carboni, M. Münkemüller, T., Gallien, L., Lavergne, S., Acosta, A., & Thuiller, W. (2013) Darwin’s naturalization hypothesis: scale matters in coastal plant communities. Ecography 36: 560–568 PDF

171- de Bello, F., Lavorel, S., Lavergne, S., Albert, C.H., Boulangeat, I., Mazel, F. & Thuiller, W. (2013) Hierarchical effects of environmental filters on the functional structure of plant communities: a case study in the French Alps. Ecography, 36, 393-402 PDF

170- Dortel E., Thuiller W., Lobo J.M., Bohbot H., Lumaret J.P., Jay-Robert P. (2013) Potential effects of climate change on the distribution of Scarabaeidae dung beetles in Western Europe. Journal of Insect Conservation, 17, 1059-1070  PDF

169- Kharouba, H., McCune, J.L., Thuiller, W. & Huntley, B. (2013) Do ecological differences between taxonomic groups influence the relationship between species’ distributions and climate? A global meta-analysis using species distribution models. Ecography, 36, 657-664  PDF

168- Lavergne, S., Evans, M.E.K, Burfield, I.J., Jiguet, F. & Thuiller.W. (2013) Are species’ responses to global change predicted by past niche evolution? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 368, 1610, 20120091; doi:10.1098/rstb.2012.0091 PDF SuppMat

167- Lyet, A., Thuiller, W., Cheylan, M., Besnard, A. (2013) Fine-scale regional distribution modelling of rare and threatened species: bridging GIS Tools and conservation in practice. Diversity and Distributions, 19: 651-663 PDF

166- Meynard, C., Lavergne, S., Boulangeat, I., Garraud, L., Van Es, J., Mouquet, N. & Thuiller, W. (2013) Disentangling the drivers of metacommunity structure across spatial scales. Journal of Biogeography, 40: 1560-1571 PDF

165- Mouillot, D., Bellwood, D.R., Baraloto, C., Chave, J., Galzin, R., Harmelin-Vivien, M., Kulbicki,  M., Lavergne, S., Lavorel, S., Mouquet, N., Paine, C.E.T., Renaud, J. & Thuiller W. (2013) Rare species support vulnerable functions in high-diversity ecosystems. Plos Biology, 11: e1001569. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1001569 PDF

164- Pellissier, L., Brathen, K.A., Vittoz, P., Yoccoz, N.G., Dubuis, A., Meier, E.S., Zimmermann, N.E., Randin, C.F., Thuiller, W., Garraud, L., Van Es, J., Guisan, A. (2013) Thermal niches are more conserved at cold than warm limits in arctic-alpine plant species. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 22, 933-941 PDF

163- Roquet, C., Thuiller, W. & Lavergne, S. (2013) Building megaphylogenies for macroecology: taking up the challenge. Ecography, 36, 13-26 PDF SupppMat

162- Roquet, C., Boucher, F.C, Thuiller, W. & Lavergne, S. (2013) Replicated radiations of the alpine genus Androsace (Primulaceae) driven by range expansion and convergent key innovations. Journal of Biogeography, 40: 1874-1886 PDF

161- Schiffers, K., Bourne, E.C., Lavergne, S., Thuiller, W. & Travis, J.M.J. (2013) Limited evolutionary rescue of locally adapted populations facing climate change. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 368, 1610, 20120083, doi:10.1098/rstb.2012.0083 PDF SuppMat Code

160- Thuiller, W., Münkemüller, T, Lavergne, S., Mouillot, D., Mouquet, N., Schiffers, K. & Gravel, D. (2013) A road map for integrating eco-evolutionary processes into biodiversity models. Ecology Letters, 16, 94-105 PDF

159- Thuiller, W. (2013) On the importance of edaphic variables to predict plant species distributions -  limits and prospects. Journal of Vegetation Science, 24: 591-592 PDF

158- Trivino, M., Cabeza, M., Thuiller, W. Hickler, T. & Araujo, MB. (2013) Risk assessment for Iberian birds under global change. Biological Conservation, 168: 192-200 PDF


2012

157- Albert, C.H., de Bello, F., Boulangeat, I., Pellet, G., Lavorel, S. & Thuiller, W. (2012) On the importance of intraspecific variability for the quantification of functional diversity. Oikos, 121, 116-126 PDF

156- Alsos, I.G., Ehrich, D., Thuiller, W., Eidesen, P.B., Tribsch, A., Schönswetter, P. Lagaye, C., Taberlet, P., Brochmann, C. (2012) Genetic consequences of climate change induced range reduction in northern plants. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 279, 2042-2051 PDF

155- Barbet-Massin, M., Jiguet, F., Albert, C.H. & Thuiller, W. (2012) Selecting pseudo-absence for species distribution models: how, where and how many? Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 3, 327-338 PDF

154- Barbet-Massin, M., Thuiller, W., & Jiguet, F. (2012) The fate of European breeding birds under climate, land-use and dispersal scenarios. Global Change Biology, 18, 881–890   PDF

153- Bellard, C., Bertelsmeier, C., Leadley, P., Thuiller, W. & Courchamp, F. (2012) Effects of climate change on the future of biodiversity. Ecology Letters, 15, 365-377 PDF

152- Boucher, F., Thuiller, W., Roquet, C., Douzet, R., Aubert, S., Alvarez, N. & Lavergne, S. (2012) Reconstructing the origin of high-alpine niches and cushion life form in the genus Androsace (Primulaceae). Evolution, 66, 1255–1268, PDF

151- Boulangeat, I., Gravel, D. and Thuiller, W. (2012) Accounting for dispersal and biotic interactions to disentangle the drivers of species distributions and their abundances. Ecology Letters, 15, 584-593 PDF SuppMat

150- Boulangeat, I., Lavergne, S., Van Es, J., Garraud, L. Thuiller, W. (2012) Niche breadth, rarity and ecological characteristics within a regional flora spanning large environmental gradients. Journal of Biogeography, 39 204-241 PDF

149- Boulangeat, I., Philippe, P., Abdulhak, S., Douzet, R., Garraud, L., Lavergne, S., Lavorel, S., Van Es J., Vittoz, P. & Thuiller, W. (2012) Optimising plant functional groups for dynamic models of biodiversity: at the crossroad between functional and community ecology. Global Change Biology, 18, 3464-3475. PDF

148- Broennimann, O., Fitzpatrick, M., Pearman, P.B., Pelissier, L., Petit-Pierre, B., Yoccoz, N.G., Thuiller, W., Fortin, M.J., Randin, C., Zimmermann, N.E., Graham, C.H. & Guisan , A. (2012) Measuring ecological niche overlap from occurrence and spatial environmental data. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21 481-497  PDF

147- Cheaib, A., Badeaub, V., Boe, J., Chuine, I., Delire, C., Dufrêne, E., François, C., Grittid, E.S.,  Legay, M., Pagé, C., Thuiller, W., Viovy, N., and Leadley, P. (2012) Climate change impacts on tree ranges: model inter-comparison facilitates understanding and quantification of uncertainty. Ecology Letters, 15, 533-544 PDF SuppMat

146- de Bello, F., Price, J.N., Münkemüller, T., Zobel, M., Thuiller, W., Gerhold, P., Götzenberger, L., Lavergne, S., Lepš, I., Liira, J., Zobel, K., Pärtel, M. (2012) Functional species pool framework to test for biotic effects on community assembly. Ecology, 93, 2263-2273 PDF

145- Dullinger, S., Gattringer, A., Thuiller, W., Moser, D., Zimmermann, N.E., Guisan, A., Willner, W., Plutzar, C., Leitner, M., Mang, T., Caccianiga, M., Dirnböck, T., Ertl, S., Fischer, A.,  Lenoir, J., Svenning, J.-C., Psomas, A., Schmatz, D.R., Silc, U., Vittoz, P., & Hülber, K. (2012) Extinction debt of high-mountain plants under twenty-first-century climate change. Nature Climate Change, 2, 619-622 PDF  SupplementaryMaterials

144- Civantos, E., Thuiller, W., Maiorano, L., Guisan, A., & Araujo, M.B. (2012) Potential impacts of climate change on ecosystem services in Europe: the case of pest control by vertebrates. BioScience, 52, 658-666 PDF

143- Gallien, L., Douzet, R., Pratte, S., Zimmermann, N.E., Thuiller, W. (2012) Invasive species distribution models - how violating the equilibrium assumption can create new insights? Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21, 1126-1136 PDF

142- Gasso, N., Thuiller, W., Pino, J. & Vilà, M. (2012) Potential distribution range of invasive species in Spain. Neobiota, 12,  25-40 PDF

141- Jay, F., Manel, S., Alvarez, N., Durand, E., Thuiller, W., Holderregger, R., Taberlet, P.   François, O. (2012) Forecasting changes in population genetic structure of Alpine plants in response to global warming. Molecular Ecology, 21, 2354-2368 PDF

140- Kleyer M., Dray S., de Bello F., Leps I., Meier T., Pakeman R.J., Strauss B., Thuiller W. & Lavorel S. 2012. Assessing species and community functional responses to environmental gradients: which multivariate methods? Journal of Vegetation Science, 23, 805-821 PDF, Appendix1, Appendix2, Appendix3, Appendix4

139- Kramer, K., Bijlsma, R.-K., Hickler, T. & Thuiller, W. Why would plant species become extinct locally if growing conditions improve? International Journal of Biological Sciences, 8(8)  1121-1129  PDF

138- Kunstler, G., Lavergne, S., Courbaud, B., Thuiller, W., Vieilledent, G., Zimmermann, N.E., Kattge, J. & Coomes, D.A. (2012) Competitive interactions between forest trees are driven by species' trait hierarchy, not phylogenetic or functional similarity: implications for forest community assembly. Ecology Letters. 15 (8) 831-840 PDF

137- Manel, S., Gugerli, F., Thuiller, W., Alvarez, N., Holderegger, R., Legendre, P., Gielly, L., Taberlet, P. & Intrabiodiv consortium. (2012) Broad-scale adaptive genetic variation in alpine plants is mainly driven by temperature and precipitation. Molecular Ecology, 21, 3729–3738 PDF

136- Mouquet, N., Devictor, V., Meynard, C.N., Munoz, F., Bersier, L.-F., Chave, J., Couteron, P., Dalecky, A., Fontaine, C., Gravel, D., Hardy, O.J., Jabot, F., Lavergne, S., Leibold, M., Mouillot, D., Münkemüller, T., Pavoine, S., Prinzing, A., Rodrigues, A.S.L., Rohr, R.P., Thébault, E., Thuiller, W. (2012) Ecophylogenetics: advances and perspectives. Biological Reviews, 87, 769-785 PDF

135- Münkemüller, T., de Bello, F., Meynard, C. N., Gravel, D., Lavergne, S., Mouillot, D., Mouquet, N. & Thuiller, W. (2012) From diversity indices to community assembly processes: a test with simulated data. Ecography, 35, 468-480. 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2011.07259.x  PDF

134- Münkemüller, T., Lavergne, S., Bzeznik, B., Dray, S., Jombart, T., Schiffers, K. & Thuiller, W. (2012) How to measure and test phylogenetic signal? Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 3, 743-756  PDF SuppMat

133- Rolland, J., Cadotte, M.W., Davies, J., Devictor, V., Lavergne, S., Mouquet, N., Pavoine,  S., Rodrigues A., Thuiller, W., Turcati, L., Winter, M., Zupan, L., Jabot, F. & Morlon, H. (2012) Using phylogenies in conservation: new perspectives. Biology Letters. 8, 692-694 PDF

132- Thuiller, W., Gassó, N., Pino, J. & Vilà, M. (2012) Ecological niche and species traits: key drivers of regional plant invader assemblages. Biological Invasions, 14, 1963-1980 PDF

131- Yoccoz, N.G., Bråthen, K.A., Gielly, L., Haile, J., Edwards, M.E., Goslar, T., von Stedingk, H., Brysting, A.K., Coissac, E., Pompanon, F., Sønstebø, J.H., Miquel, C., Valentini, A., de Bello, F., Chave, J., Thuiller, W., Rasmussen, M., Gilbert, M.T.P., Orlando, L., Brochmann, C., Willerslev, E., Taberlet, P. (2012) DNA from soil mirrors plant taxonomic and growth form diversity. Molecular Ecology, 21, 3647–3655 PDF


2011

130- Araújo, M. B., Alagador, D., Cabeza., M, Nogués-Bravo, D. & Thuiller, W. (2011) Effects of climate change on European conservation areas. Ecology Letters, 14, 484-492 PDF

129- Beaumont, L.J., Pitman, A., Perkins, S., Zimmermann, N.E., Yoccoz, N.G. & Thuiller, W. (2011) Impacts of climate change on the world's most exceptional ecoregions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA, 108(6) 2306-2311 PDF SuppInf

128- Cabral, J.S., Bond, W.J., Rebelo, A.G., Midgley, G.F., Thuiller, W., & Schurr, F. (2011) Effects of Harvesting Flowers from Shrubs on the Persistence and Abundance of Wild Shrub Populations at Multiple Spatial Extents. Conservation Biology, 25, 73-84 PDF

127- de Bello F., Lavorel S., Albert C.H., Thuiller W., Grigulis K., Dolezal J., Janecek S., Leps J. (2011) Quantifying the relevance of intraspecific trait variability for functional diversity. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2, 163–174 PDF

126- Defossez, E., Courbaud, B., Marcais, B., Thuiller, W., Granda, E., & Kunstler, G. (2011) Do interactions between plants and soil biota change with elevation? A study on Fagus sylvatica. Biology Letters, 7, 699-701 PDF

125- Engler, R., Randin, C., Thuiller, W., Dullinger, S., Zimmermann, N.E., Araújo, M.B., Pearman, P.B., Albert, C.H., Choler, P., de Lamo, X., Dirnböck, T., Gómez-García, D., Grytnes, J.-A., Heegard, E., Høistad, F., Le Lay, G., Nogues-Bravo, D., Normand, S., Piédalu, C., Puscas, M., Sebastià, M.-T., Stanisci, A., Theurillat, J.-P., Trivedi, M., Vittoz, P., and Guisan, A. (2011) 21st century climate change threatens mountain flora unequally across Europe. Global Change Biology, 17:2330-2341 PDF  SuppMat.

124- Kujala, H., Araújo, M.B., Thuiller, W., & Cabeza, M. (2011) Misleading results from conventional Gap analysis – messages from the warming North. Biological Conservation, 144, 2450-2458 PDF

123- Kunstler, G., Albert, C.H, Courbeau, B., Lavergne, S., Thuiller, W., Vielledent, G., Zimmermann, N.E., Coomes, D. (2011) Effects of competition on tree radial-growth vary in importance but not in intensity along climatic gradients. Journal of Ecology, 99, 300-312 PDF

122- Meynard, C.N. Devictor, V., Mouillot, D., Thuiller, W., Jiguet, F., & Mouquet, N.  (2011) Beyond taxonomic diversity patterns: how  α, β and γ components of functional and phylogenetic diversity respond to environmental gradients across France? Global Ecology & Biogeography, 20,  893-903 PDF

121- Midgley, G.F. & Thuiller, W. (2011). Potential responses of terrestrial biodiversity in Southern Africa to anthropogenic climate change. Regional Environmental Change. 11, S127-S135 PDF

120- Pio, D., Broennimann, O., Rebelo, A.G., Reeves, G., Barraclough, T., Thuiller, W., Guisan, A., & Salamin, N. Spatial predictions of phylogenetic diversity in conservation decision making. Conservation Biology, 25: 1229-1239 PDF

119- Simberloff, D. [...], Thuiller, W. [...] (2011) Non-natives: 141 scientists object. Nature 475: 36-36 PDF

118- Thuiller, W., Lavergne, S., Roquet, C., Boulangeat, I., Lafourcade, B. & Araújo, M.B. Consequences of climate change on the Tree of Life in Europe. Nature, 470, 531-534 PDF SupMat

117- Triviño, M., Thuiller, W., Cabeza, M., Hickler, T. and Araújo, M.B. The Contribution of Vegetation and Landscape Configuration for Predicting Environmental Change Impacts on Iberian Birds. Plos ONE, 6: e29373 PDF


2010

116- Albert, C.H., Edwards, Jr. T., Graham, C.H., Yoccoz, N.G., Zimmermann, N.E. & Thuiller, W. (2010) Applied sampling in ecology and evolution – integrating questions and designs. Ecography, 33, 1028-1037 PDF

115- Albert, C.H., Thuiller, W., Yoccoz, N.G., Douzet, R., Aubert, S. and Lavorel, S. (2010) A multi-trait approach reveals the structure and the relative importance of intra- versus interspecific variability. Functional Ecology, 24, 1192–1201 PDF

114- Albert, C.H., Thuiller, W., Yoccoz, N.G., Soudan, A., Boucher, F., Saccone, P. and Lavorel, S. (2010) Intraspecific functional variability: extent, structure and sources of variation within an alpine valley. Journal of Ecology. 98, 604–613 PDF

113- Barbet-Massin, M., Thuiller, W., & Jiguet, F. How much do we overestimate local extinction rates when restricting the range of occurrence data in climate suitability models? Ecography. 33(5), 378-386 PDF

112- Ben Rais Lasram F, Guilhaumon F, Albouy, C., Somot, S., Thuiller, W. & Mouillot, D. (2010) The Mediterranean Sea as a “cul-de-sac” for endemic fishes facing climate change. Global Change Biology. 16: 3233–3245. PDF

111- Berteaux, D. de Blois, S., Angers, J.-F., Bonin, J., Casajus, N., Darveau, M., Fournier, F., Humphries, M., McGill, B., Larivée, J., Logan, T., Nantel, P., Périé, C., Poisson, F., Rodrigue, D., Rouleau, S., Siron, R., Thuiller, W., & Vescovi, L. The CC-Bio project: Studying the effects of climate change on Quebec biodiversity. Diversity, 2, 1181-1204 PDF

110- Buisson, L., Thuiller, W., Casajus, N., Lek, S. and Grenouillet, G. (2010) Uncertainty in ensemble forecasting of species distribution. Global Change Biology. 16, 1145-1157 PDF

109- Carboni, M., Thuiller, W., Izzi, F. & Acosta, A. (2010) Disentangling the relative effects of environmental versus human factors on the abundance of native and alien plant species in Mediterranean sandy shores Diversity and Distributions, 16, 537-546 PDF

108- de Bello F., Lavergne S., Meynard C., Lepš I. & Thuiller W. (2010) The spatial partitioning of diversity: showing Theseus a way out of the labyrinth. Journal of Vegetation Science, 21, 992-1000. PDF

107- Devictor, V., Clavel, J., Julliard, R., Lavergne, S., Mouillot, D., Thuiller, W., Venail, P. Villégier, S. and Mouquet, N. (2010) Defining and measuring ecological specialization. Journal of Applied Ecology, 47, 15-25   PDF

106- Devictor, V., Mouillot, D., Meynard, C.,  Jiguet, F., Thuiller, W. and Mouquet, N. (2010) Spatial mismatch and congruence between taxonomic, phylogenetic and functional diversity: the need for integrative conservation strategies in a changing world. Ecology Letters, 13, 1030–1040 PDF

105- Ficetola, F., Maiorano, L., Falcucci, A., Dendoncker, N., Boitani, L., Padoa-Schioppa, E., Miaud, C. & Thuiller, W. (2010) Knowing the past to predict the future: land-use change and the spread of invasive Bullfrogs. Global Change Biology. 16, 528-537 PDF

104- Gallien, L., Münkemüller, T., Albert, C.H., Boulangeat, I. & Thuiller, W. (2010) Predicting potential distributions of invasive species: where to go from here? Diversity and Distributions, 16, 331-342 PDF

103- Heikkinen, R.K. Luoto, M., Leikola, N., Pöyry, J. Settele, J., Kudrna, O., Marmion, M., Fronzek, S. & Thuiller, W. (2010) Assessing the vulnerability of European butterflies to climate change using multiple criteria. Biodiversity and Conservation. 19: 695–723 PDF

102- Kramer, K., Degen, B., Buschbom, J., Hickler, T., Thuiller, W., Sykes, M.T., de Winter, W. (2010) Modelling exploration of the future of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.)  under climate change - Range, abundance, genetic diversity and adaptive response. Forest Ecology and Management, 259, 2213–2222 PDF

101- Lavergne, S., Mouquet, N., Thuiller, W., Ronce, O.  (2010) Biodiversity and climate change: Integrating evolutionary and ecological responses of species and communities. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution and Systematics. 41: 321-350 PDF

100- Meier, E.S., Kienast, F., Pearman, P.B., Svenning, J.-C., Thuiller, W., Araújo, M.B., Guisan, A. & Zimmermann, N.E. Biotic and abiotic variables show little overlap in explaining tree species distribution patterns.  Ecography, 33, 1038-1048 PDF

99- Midgley, G. F., Davies, I. D., Albert, C. H., Altwegg, R., Hannah, L., Hughes, G. O., O'Halloran, L.R. Seo, C., Thorne, J.H. & Thuiller, W.  BioMove – an integrated platform simulating the dynamic response of species to environmental change. Ecography, 33, 612-616  PDF

98- Pearman, P.B., D'Amen, M., Graham, C.H., Thuiller, W. & Zimmermann, N.E. Within-taxon niche structure: Niche conservatism, divergence and predicted effects of climate change. Ecography, 33, 990-1003 PDF

97- Poncet, B., Hermann, D., Gugerly, F., Taberlet, P., Holderegger, R., Gielly, L., Rioux, D., Thuiller, W., Aubert, S. & Manel, S. Temperature drives adaptive genetic diversity in two independent  regional genome scan samples of Arabis alpina. Molecular Ecology, 19, 2896–2907 PDF

96- Quétier, F., Rivoal, F., Marty, P., de Chazal, J., Thuiller, W. Lavorel, S. Social representations of an alpine grassland landscape and socio-political discourses on rural development. Regional Environmental Change, 10, 119-130 PDF

95- Richardson, D.M., Iponga, D.M., Roura-Pascual, N., Krug, R.M., Milton, S.J., Hughes, G.O. and Thuiller, W.,  Accommodating scenarios of climate change and management in modelling the distribution of the invasive species: Schinus molle in South Africa. Ecography, 33, 1049-1061 PDF

94- Salamin, N., Würst, R., Lavergne, S., Thuiller, W. & Pearman, P. Assessing rapid evolution in a changing environment. Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 25(12) 692-698 PDF

93- Sérandour, J., Willison, J, Thuiller, W., Ravanel, P., Lempérière, G., Raveton, M. (2010) Environmental drivers for Coquillettidia mosquito habitat selection: A method to highlight key field factors. Hydrobiologia, 652, 377–388 PDF

92- Thuiller, W., Albert, CH., Dubuis, A., Randin, C. & Guisan, A. (2010) Variation in habitat suitability models do not always relate to  variation in species' plant functional traits. Biology Letters, 6, 120:123 PDF

91- Thuiller W., Gallien, L., Boulangeat, I., de Bello, F., Münkemüller, T., Roquet-Ruiz, C. & Lavergne, S. (2010) Resolving Darwin’s naturalization conundrum: a quest for evidence. Diversity and Distributions. 16, 461–475 PDF

90- Virkkala, R., Marmion, M., Heikkinen, R.K., Thuiller, W., Luoto, M. (2010) Predicting range shifts of northern bird species: influence of modelling technique and topography. Acta Oecologica. 36, 269-281  PDF


2009

89- Anderson, B.J., Akçakaya, H.R., Araújo, M.B., Fordham, D.A., Martinez-Meyer, E., Thuiller, W., Brook, B.W. (2009) Dynamics of range margins for metapopulations under climate change. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 276, 1415-1420 PDF

88- Araújo, M.B., Thuiller, W. and Yoccoz, N.G. (2009) Reopening the climate envelope reveals macroscale associations with climate in European birds. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA, 106, E45-E46 PDF

87- Barbet-Massin, B., Walther, B.A., Thuiller, W., Rahbek, C. & Jiguet, F. (2009) Potential impacts of climate change on the winter distribution of Afro-Palaearctic migrant passerines. Biology Letters, 5, 248-251 PDF

86- Beaumont, L., Gallagher, R., Downey, P., Thuiller, W., Leishman, M., Hughes, L. (2009) Modelling the impact of Hieracium spp. on protected areas in Australia under future climates. Ecography, 32, 757-764 PDF

85- Beaumont, L. J., Gallagher, R. V., Thuiller, W., Downey, P. O., Leishman, M. R. & Hughes, L. (2009) Different climatic envelopes among invasive populations may lead to underestimations of current and future biological invasions. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 409-420. PDF

84- Coetzee, B.W.T., Robertson, M.P. Erasmus, B.F.N, van Rensburg, B.J., Thuiller, W. (2009) Ensemble models predict Important Bird Areas in southern Africa to become less effective for conserving endemic birds under climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 18, 701-710 PDF

83- de Bello, F., Thuiller, W., Leps, I., Choler, P., Clément, J.-C., Macek, P., Sebastia, M.T., Lavorel, S. Partitioning of functional diversity reveals the scale and extent of trait convergence and divergence. Journal of Vegetation Science, 20: 475-486 PDF

82- Ficetola, F., Thuiller, W., Padoa-Schioppa, E. From introduction to the establishment of alien species: bioclimatic differences between presence and reproduction localities in the slider turtle. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 108-116 PDF

81- Gebremedhin, B., Ficetola, G.F., Naderi, S., Resaei, H.-R., Maudet, C., Rioux, D., Luikart, G., Flagstad, O., Thuiller, W., Taberlet, P. 2009. Combining genetic and ecological data to assess the conservation status of the endangered Ethiopian Walia ibex. Animal Conservation, 12, 89-100 PDF

80- Gebremedhin, B., Ficetola, G.F., Naderi, S., Resaei, H.-R., Maudet, C., Rioux, D., Luikart, G., Flagstad, O., Thuiller, W., Taberlet, P., 2009. Frontiers in identifying conservation units: from neutral markers to adaptive genetic variation. Animal Conservation, 12, 107-109 PDF

79- Hickler, T., Fronzek, S., Araújo, M.B., Schweiger, O., Thuiller, W., Sykes, M.T. An ecosystem-model-based estimate of changes in water availability differs from water proxies that are commonly used in species distribution models. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 18, 304-313 PDF

78- Houniet, D., Thuiller, W. & Tolley, K.A.  Potential effects of predicted climate change on the endemic South African Dwarf Chameleons, Bradypodion. African Journal of Herpetology, 58, 28-35 PDF

77- Knapp, S., Kühn, I., Bakker, J. P., Kleyer, M., Klotz, S., Ozinga, W. A., Poschlod, P., Thompson, K., Thuiller, W. & Römermann, C. (2009) How species traits and affinity to urban land use control large-scale species frequency. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 533-546. PDF

76- Marmion, M., Hjort, J., Thuiller, W., Luoto, M. (2009) Statistical consensus methods for improving predictive geomorphology maps. Computer and Geosciences, 35, 615-625 PDF

75- Marmion, M., Luoto, M., Heikkinen, R.K., Thuiller, W. (2009) The performance of state-of-the-art modelling techniques depends on geographical distribution of species. Ecological Modelling, 220, 3512-3520 PDF

74- Marmion, M., Parviainen, M., Luoto, M., Heikkinen, R.K., Thuiller, W. (2009) Evaluation of consensus methods in predictive species distribution modelling, Diversity and Distributions, 15, 59-69 PDF

73- Morin, X. & Thuiller, W. 2009 Comparing niche- and process-based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate change. Ecology 90, 1301–1313. PDF

72- Parker-Allié, F., Musil, C.F. and Thuiller, W. Effects of climate warming on the distributions of invasive european annual grasses: a Southern African perspective. Climatic Change, 94, 87-103 PDF

71- Parviainen, M. Marmion, M. Luoto, M., Thuiller, W. & Heikkinen, R.K.  Using summed individual species models and state-of-the-art modelling techniques to identify threatened plant species hotspots. Biological Conservation, 142, 2501-2509. PDF

70- Randin, C., Engler, R., Normand, S., Zappa, M., Zimmermann, N.E., Pearman, P., Vittoz, P., Thuiller, W., Guisan , A. Climate change and plant distribution: local models predict high-elevation persistence. Global Change Biology 15: 1557-1569,  doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01766.x   PDF

69- Roura-Pascual, N., Brotons, L., Peterson, AT, Thuiller, W. 2009. Consensual predictions of potential distributional areas for invasive species: a case study of Argentine ants in the Iberian Peninsula. Biological Invasions 11:1017-1031. PDF

68- Roura-Pascual, N., Bas, J.P., Thuiller, W., Hui, C., Krug, R.M., and Brotons, L. From introduction to equilibrium: reconstructing the invasive pathways of the Argentine ant in a Mediterranean region. Global Change Biology, 15, 2101-2115  PDF 

67- Seo, C., Thorne, J., Hannah, L. & Thuiller, W. (2009) Scale effects in species distribution models – implications for planning under climate change. Biology Letters, 5, 39-43 PDF

66- Thuiller, W., Lafourcade, B., Engler, R. & Araújo, M.B. BIOMOD - A platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions. Ecography, 32, 369-373 doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2008.05742.x   PDFmi

65- Vallecillo, S., Brotons, L. & Thuiller, W. (2009) Dangers of predicting bird species distributions in response to land-cover changes. Ecological Applications, 19, 538-549 PDF

64- Walther, G.-R., Roques, A., Hulme, P. E., Sykes, M. T., Pysek, P., Kühn, I., Zobel, M., Bacher, S., Botta-Dukat, Z., Bugmann, H., Czucz, B., Dauber, J., Hickler, T., Jarosik, V., Kenis, M., Klotz, S., Minchin, D., Moora, M., Nentwig, W., Ott, J., Panov, V. E., Reineking, B., Robinet, C., Semenchenko, V., Solarz, W., Thuiller, W., Vila, M., Vohland, K. & Settele, J. 2009 Alien species in a warmer world – risks and opportunities. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 24, 686-693  PDF

63- Zimmermann, Z.E., Yoccoz, N.G., Edwards, Jr., T.C., Meier, E.C., Thuiller, W., Guisan, A., Schmatz, D.R. and Pearman, P.B. Climatic extremes improve predictions of spatial patterns of tree species.  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA. 106, 19723–19728 PDF


2008

62- Albert, C.H. and Thuiller, W. Favourability functions versus probability of presence: advantages and misuses, Ecography, 31, 417-422 PDF

61- Albert, C.H., Thuiller, W., Lavorel, S., Davies, I.D. & Garbolino, E. Land use change and sub-alpine tree dynamics: colonisation of Larix decidua in French sub-alpine grasslands. Journal of Applied Ecology, 45, 659–669 PDF

60- Barnard, P. & Thuiller, W. Global change and biodiversity: future challenges. Biology Letters, 4, 553-555 PDF

59- Buisson, L., Thuiller, W., Lek, S., Lim, P. and Grenouillet, G. Climate change hastens the turnover of stream fish assemblages. Global Change Biology, 14, 2232–2248 PDF

58- Estrada-Peña, A. and Thuiller, W. An assessment of the effect of resolution and data partitioning on the performance of modelling algorithms of habitat suitability for ticks. Medical and Veterinary Entomology, 22, 248-257 PDF

57- Holderegger R., Herrmann D., Poncet B., Gugerli F., Thuiller W., Taberlet P., Gielly L., Rioux D., Brodbeck S., Aubert S. & Manel S. (2008) Land ahead: Using genome scans to identify molecular markers of adaptive relevance. Plant Ecology and Diversity, 1, 273–283

56- Hughes, G.O., Thuiller, W., Midgley, G.F., Collins, K., (2008). Environmental change hastens the demise of the critically endangered riverine rabbit (Bunolagus monticularis). Biological Conservation, 141, 23-34 PDF

55- Keith, D.A., Akçakaya, H.R., Thuiller, W., Midgley, G.F., Pearson, R.G., Phillips, S.J., Regan, H.M., Araújo, M.B, Rebelo, T.G. Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models. Biology Letters, 4, 560-563 PDF

54- Kühn, I., Sykes, M.T., Berry, P., Thuiller, W., Piper, J., Nigmann, U., Araújo, M.B., Baletto, E., Bonelli, S., Cabeza, M., Guisan, A., Hickler, T., Klotz, S., Metzger, M., Midgley, G., Musche, M., Olofsson, J., Paterson, J., Penev, L., Rickebusch, S., Rounsevell, M., Schweiger, O., Wilson, E., Settele, J. MACIS: Minimisation of and Adaptation to Climate change Impacts on biodiverSity. GAIA-Ecological perspectives for science and society,  17, 393-395

53- Le Maitre, D.C., Thuiller, W., & Schonegevel, L. Developing an approach to defining the potential distributions of invasive plant species: a case study of Hakea species in South Africa. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 569-584 PDF

52- Marmion, M., Hjort, J., Thuiller, W. & Luoto, M. 2008. A comparison of predictive methods in modelling the distribution of periglacial landforms in Finnish Lapland. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 33, 2241–2254 PDF

51- Mermillod-Blondin, F., Poggiale, J.C, Tolla, C., Auger, P., Thuiller, W., and Creuzé des Châtelliers, M. (2008) Using a mathematical model to simulate the influence of tubificid worms (Oligochaeta) on oxygen concentrations in hyporheic sediments. Fundamental and Applied Limnology, 172/2, 135–145.

50- Pompe, S. Hanspach, J., Badeck, F., Klotz, S., Thuiller, W., Kühn, I. Projecting future land use and climate change impacts on plant distribution in Germany. Biology Letters, 4, 564-567 PDF

49- Rickebusch, S., Thuiller, W., Hickler, T., Araujo M.B., Sykes, M.T., Schweiger, O. & Lafourcade, B. Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models. Biology Letters, 4, 556-559 PDF

48- Thuiller, W., Albert, C.H., Araújo, M.B., Berry, P.M., Cabeza, M., Guisan, G., Hickler, T., Midgley, G.F., Paterson, J., Schurr, F.M., Sykes, M.T., Zimmermann, N.E. (2008) Predicting global change impacts on plant species distributions: future challenges. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 9, 137-152 PDF

 

2007

47- Amis, M.A., Rouget, M., Balmford, A., Thuiller, W., Kleynhans, C.J., Day, J., Nel, J. (2007) Predicting freshwater habitat integrity using land use surrogates . Water SA, 33, 215-221 PDF

46- Broennimann, O., Treier, U.A, Müller-Schärer, H., Thuiller, W., Peterson, A.T.P., & Guisan, A. Evidence of climatic niche shift during biological invasion. Ecology Letters, 10, 701-709 PDF

45- Ficetola, G.F., Thuiller, W. and Miaud, C. Prediction and validation of the potential global distribution of a problematic alien invasive species – the American bullfrog. Diversity and Distributions PDF

44- Foden, W., Midgley, G. F., Hughes, G. O., Bond, W. J., Thuiller, W., Hoffman, M. T., Kaleme, P., Underhill, L. G., Rebelo, A. G. & Hannah, L. (2007) A changing climate is eroding the geographical range of the Namib Desert tree Aloe through population declines and dispersal lags. Diversity and Distributions, 13, 645-653 PDF

43- Kunstler, G. Thuiller, W., Curt, T., Bouchaud, M., Jouvie, R., Deruette, F. and Lepart, J. Fagus sylvatica L. recruitment across a fragmented Mediterranean Landscape, importance of long distance effective dispersal, abiotic conditions and biotic interactions. Diversity and Distributions 13, 799-807 PDF

42- Manne, L.L., Williams, P.H., Midgley, G.F., Thuiller, W., Rebelo, A.G. and Hannah, L. (2007) Spatial and temporal variation in species-area relationships in the Fynbos biological hotspot. Ecography, 30, 852-861 PDF

41- Midgley G.F. and Thuiller, W. Potential vulnerability of Namaqualand plant diversity to anthropogenic climate change. Journal of Arid Environments, 70, 615-628 PDF

40- Quetier, F., Lavorel, S., Thuiller, W. and Davies, I. (2007) Plant trait-based assessment of ecosystem service sensitivity to land-use change in mountain grasslands. Ecological Applications, 17, 2377-2386 PDF

39- Richardson, D.M. and Thuiller, W. Home away from home - objective mapping of high-risk source areas for plant introductions. Diversity and Distributions, 13, 299-312 PDF

38- Thuiller, W. (2007) Biodiversity - Climate Change and the Ecologist. Nature, 448, 550-552 PDF

37- Thuiller, W., Slingsby, J.A., Privett, S.D.J. and Cowling, R.M. (2007) Stochastic species turnover and stable coexistence in a fire-prone plant community. PloS ONE 2(9): e938. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0000938 PDF

36- Walther, B.A., Schäffer, N., Van Niekerk, A., Thuiller, W., Rahbek, C. and Chown, S.L. Modelling the winter distribution of a rare and endangered migrant, the Aquatic Warbler Acrocephalus paludicola. Ibis 149, 701-714 PDF

35- Wilson, J.R.U., Richardson, D.M., Rouget, M., Proches, S., Amis, M.A., Henderson, L. and Thuiller, W. (2007) Residence time and potential range: crucial considerations in plant invasion ecology. Diversity and Distributions 13, 11-22 PDF

 

2006

34- Araújo, M.B., Thuiller, W., and Pearson, R.G. (2006) Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe. Journal of Biogeography, 33, 1712-1728 PDF

33- Broennimann O., Thuiller W., Hughes G.O., Midgley G.F., Alkemade J.R.M. & Guisan A. (2006) Do geographic distribution, niche property and life form explain plants’ vulnerability to global change? Global Change Biology 12, 1079-1093 PDF

32- Heikkinen, R.K., Luoto, M., Araújo, M.B., Virkkala, R., Thuiller, W., Sykes, M.T. Methods and uncertainties in bioclimatic envelope modeling under climate change. Progress in Physical Geography, 30, 751-777 PDF

31- Meyer, C.B. and Thuiller, W. (2006) Accuracy of resource selection functions across spatial scales. Diversity and Distributions, 12, 288-297 PDF

30- Midgley G.F., Hughes G.O., Thuiller, W. and Rebelo, A.G. (2006) Migration rate limitations on climate change induced range shifts in Cape Proteaceae. Diversity and Distributions, 12, 555-562 PDF

29- Pearson, R.G., Thuiller, W., Araújo, M.B., Martinez-Meyer, E., Brotons, L., McClean, C., Miles, L., Segurado, P., Dawson, T.E., and Lees, D. C. Model-based uncertainty in species' range prediction. Journal of Biogeography, 33, 1704-1711 PDF

28- Thuiller, W., Broennimann, O., Hughes, G.O., Alkemade, J.R.M., Midgley, G.F. and Corsi, F. (2006) Vulnerability of African mammals to anthropogenic climate change under conservative land transformation assumptions. Global Change Biology. 12, 424-440 PDF

27- Thuiller, W., Lavorel, S., Sykes, M.T., and Araújo, M.B. (2006) Using niche-based modelling to assess the impact of climate change on tree functional diversity in Europe. Diversity and Distributions. 12, 49-60 PDF

26- Thuiller, W., Midgley, G.F., Rouget, M., and Cowling, R.M.C. (2006) Predicting patterns of plant species richness in megadiverse South Africa. Ecography. 29, 733-744 PDF

25- Thuiller, W., Midgley, G.F., Hughes, G.O., Bomhard, B., Drew, G., Rutherford, M.C., and Woodward, F.I. (2006) Endemic species and ecosystem vulnerability to climate change in Namibia. Global Change Biology. 12, 759-776 PDF

24- Thuiller, W., Richardson, D.M., Rouget, M., Procheş, Ş. and Wilson, J.R.U. (2006) Interactions between environment, species traits, and human uses describe patterns of plant invasions. Ecology. 87, 1755-1769 PDF  Appendix A  Appendix B

 

2005

23- Araújo, M.B, Pearson, R.G., Thuiller, W. and Erhard, M. (2005) Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change. Global Change Biology 11, 1504-1513 PDF

22- Araújo, M.B., Thuiller, W., Williams, P.H. and Reginster, I. (2005) Downscaling European species atlas distributions to a finer resolution: implications for conservation planning. Global Ecology and Biogeography 14, 17-30 PDF

21- Bomhard B., Richardson D.M., Donaldson J.S., Hughes G.O., Midgley G.F., Raimondo D.C., Rebelo A.G., Rouget M. and Thuiller W. (2005) Potential impacts of futurelanduse and climate change on the Red List status of the Proteaceae in the Cape Floristic Region, South Africa. Global Change Biology 11, 1452-1468 PDF

20- Guisan, A. and Thuiller, W. (2005) Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models. Ecology Letters 8, 993-1009 PDF

19- Lavergne, S., Thuiller, W., Molina, J. and Debussche, M. (2005) Environmental and human factors influencing rare plant local occurrence, extinction and persistence: a 115 year study in the Mediterranean region. Journal of Biogeography 32, 799-811 PDF

18- Midgley, G.F. and Thuiller, W. (2005) Global Environmental Change and the Uncertain Fate of Biodiversity. New Phytologist 167, 638-641 PDF

17- Richardson, D.M., Rouget, M., Ralston, S.J., Cowling, R.M., van Rensburg, B.J. and Thuiller, W. (2005) Species richness of alien plants in South Africa: environmental correlates and the relationship with native plant species richness, Ecoscience 12, 391-402 PDF

16- Schröter, D., Cramer,W., Leemans, R., Prentice, I.C., Araújo, M.B., Arnell, N.W., Bondeau, A., Bugmann, H., Carter, T., Garcia, C.A., de la Vega-Leinert, A.C., Erhard, M., Ewert, F., Glendining, M., House, J.I., Kankaanpää, S., Klein, R.J.T., Lavorel, S., Lindner, M., Metzger, M.J., Meyer, J., Mitchell, T., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M., Sabaté, S., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Smith, J., Smith, P., Sykes, M.T., Thonicke, K., Thuiller, W., Tuck, G., Zaehle, S., Zierl, B. (2005) Ecosystem service supply and human vulnerability to global change in Europe. Science 310, 1333-1337 PDF OnlineMaterial

15- Thuiller, W., Lavorel, S., and Araújo, M.B. (2005) Niche properties and geographic extent as predictors of species sensitivity to climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography 14, 347-357 PDF

14- Thuiller, W., Lavorel, S., Araújo, M.B., Sykes, M.T., and Prentice, I.C. (2005) Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA. 102, 8245-8250 PDF

13- Thuiller, W., Richardson D.M., Pyšek P., Midgley G.F., Hughes G.O. and Rouget M. (2005) Niche-based modelling as a tool for predicting the risk of alien plant invasions at a global scale. Global Change Biology 11, 2234–2250 PDF


2004

12- Araújo, M. B., Cabeza, M, Thuiller, W., Hannah, L., Williams. P.H. (2004) Would climate change drive species out of reserves? An assessment of existing reserve-selection methods. Global Change Biology 10, 1618-1626 PDF

11- Brotons, L., Thuiller, W., Araújo M.B., Hirzel A.H. (2004) Presence-absence vs presence-only modelling methods for predicting bird habitat suitability. Ecography, 27, 165-172 PDF

10- Simmons, R.E, Barnard, P., Dean, W.R.J, Midgley, G.F., Thuiller, W. and Hughes, G.O. (2004) Climate change and birds: perspectives and prospects from southern Africa. Ostrich 75, 295-308 PDF

09- Thuiller, W. (2004) Patterns and uncertainties of species range shifts under climate change. Global Change Biology 10, 2020-2027 PDF

08- Thuiller, W., Araújo M.B., Lavorel S. (2004) Do we need land-cover data to model species distributions in Europe? Journal of Biogeography 31, 353-361 PDF

07- Thuiller, W., Araújo, M. B., Pearson, R. G., Whittaker, R. J. and Brotons, L. (2004) Uncertainty in predictions of extinction risk, Nature 430, 34 PDF

06- Thuiller, W., Brotons L., Araújo M.B., Lavorel S. (2004) Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future species distributions. Ecography, 27, 165-172 PDF

05- Thuiller, W., Lavorel S., Midgley G.F., Lavergne S., Rebelo A.G. (2004) Relating plant traits and species distributions along bioclimatic gradients for 88 Leucadendron species in the Cape Floristic Region. Ecology, 85:1688-1699 PDF

 

2003

04- Midgley, G.F., Hannah L., Millar D., Thuiller, W., Booth A. (2003) Developing regional and species-level assessments of climate change impacts on biodiversity: A preliminary study in the Cape Floristic Region. Biological Conservation 112, 87-97 PDF

03- Thuiller, W. (2003) BIOMOD: Optimising predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change. Global Change Biology 9, 1353-1362 [News and Views in brief, Nature 425, 914] PDF

02- Thuiller, W., Araújo M.B., Lavorel S. (2003) Generalized Models versus Classification Tree Analysis: a comparative study for predicting spatial distributions of plant species at different scales. Journal of Vegetation Science 14, 669-680 PDF

01- Thuiller, W., Vaydera J., Pino J., Sabaté S., Lavorel S., Gracia C. (2003) Large-scale environmental correlates of forest tree distributions in Catalonia (NE Spain). Global Ecology and Biogeography 12, 313-325 PDF


SUBMITTED

Faure, E., Loison, A., Garel, M., Marchand, P., Lavorel, S. & Thuiller, W. Rewilding up there? Exploring drivers of wildlife recovery in the French Alps

Guerrieri, A., Carteron, A., Bonin, A., Marta, S., Ambrosini, R., Caccianiga, M., Cantera, I., Compostella, C., Diolaiuti, G., Fontaneto, D., Gielly, L., Gili, F., Gobbi, M., Poulenard, J., Taberlet, P., Zerboni, A., Thuiller, W., Ficetola, G.F. Metabarcoding data reveal vertical multi-taxa variation in topsoil communities during the colonization of deglaciated forelands

Marchal, L., Gateuille, D., Naffrechoux, E., Thuiller, W., Saillard, A., & Poulenard, J. Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon contents and distributions in soils of northern French Alps

O’Connor, L.M.J., Thuiller, W., Brose, U., Gauzens, B., Gaüzere, P., Graham, C., Harfoot, M., Hirt, M., Lavergne, S., Maiorano, L., Moilanen, A., Verburg, P.H., & Pollock, L.J. The untapped potential of food webs in systematic conservation planning. Conservation Letters, in revision

Staples, T.L., Blois, J., Cramer, K.L., Cunningham, E.T., Dornelas, M., Haberle, S.G., Heger, T.,  Kiessling, W., Magurran, A.E., O’Dea, A., Penny, A.M., Radeloff, V.C., Smith, J.A, Thuiller, W., Williams, J.W., Pandolfi, J.M. A unifying framework for the measurement of ecological and environmental novelty. Global Ecology & Biogeography, major revision


Book


Guisan, A., Thuiller, W. and Zimmermann, N.E. (2017) Habitat Suitability and Distribution Models -
with Applications in R. Ecology, Conservation and Biodiversity series. Cambridge University Press.


Book chapters


Akçakaya H.R., Pereira H.M., Canziani G.A., Mbow C., Mori A., Palomo M.G., Soberón J., Thuiller W. & Yachi S. (2016). Improving the rigour and usefulness of scenarios and models through ongoing evaluation and refinement. In: IPBES (2016): The methodological assessment report on scenarios and models of biodiversity and ecosystem services (eds. Ferrier S, Ninan KN, Leadley P, Alkemade R, Acosta LA, Akçakaya HR, Brotons L, Cheung WWL, Christensen V, Harhash KA, Kabubo-Mariara J, Lundquist C, Obersteiner M, Pereira HM, Peterson G, Pichs-Madruga R, Ravindranath N, Rondinini C & Wintle BA). Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services Bonn, Germany.

Bystrova, D., Poggiato, G., Arbel, J. & Thuiller, W. Latent Factor Models: A Tool for Dimension Reduction in Joint Species Distribution Models. In Peyrard, N & Gimenez, O., eds., Statistical Approaches for hidden variables in Ecology.

Lavorel, S., Spiegelberger, T., Mauz, I., Bigot, S., Granjou, C., Dobremez, L., Nettier, B., Thuiller, W., Brun, J.-J. & Cozic, P. (2013) Fostering Research into Coupled Long-Term Dynamics of Climate, Land Use, Ecosystems and Ecosystem Services in the Central French Alps. In Singh, S.J., Haberl, H., Chertow, M., Mirtl, M. & Schmid, M. Long Term Socio-Ecological Research, Springer, Dordrecht

Mazel, F. & Thuiller, W. (2020). Functional and Phylogenetic Diversity–Area Relationships. In Matthews, T.J., Triantis, K.A. & Whittaker, R.J., eds., The species-area relationships: theory and application. Cambridge University Press, pp. 107-132.

Midgley, G.F., Thuiller, W. and Higgins, S.I. (2007) Plant species migration as a key uncertainty in predicting future impacts of climate change on ecosystems: Progress and challenges, In Canadell, J., Pataki, D.E. and Pitelka, L.F., eds., Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World, Springer-Verlag, pp. 129-137. PDF

Thuiller, W. & Münkemüller, T. (2010).  Habitat suitability modeling. In Moeller, A.P., Fielder, W. & Berthold, P. eds., Effects of climate change on birds, Oxford University Press. PDF

Thuiller, W. (2005) Modélisation empirique de la biodiversité : un outil pour évaluer l'impact des changements globaux. In: Les biodiversités entre sciences et politiques : objets, théories, pratiques (eds. Larrère R, Lepart J, Marty J and Vivien F-D), pp. 113-123 CNRS-Editions, Paris.

Thuiller, W., Richardson, D.M., and Midgley, G.F. (2007) Will climate change promote alien plant invasions? In Nentwig, W. eds., Biological Invasions, Ecological Studies, Vol. 193, Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg, pp. 197-211 PDF

Walther, B.A., van Niekerk, A., Thuiller, W., Baumann, S., Dean, W.R.J., de Bruijn, B., Gutteridge, K., Jones, P.J., Nikolaus, G., Pearson, D.J., Robinson, S.P., Salewski, V., Schäffer, N., Taylor, P.B., Tushabe, H., Williams, P.H. & Rahbek, C. (2010). A database of Western Palearctic birds migrating within Africa to guide conservation decisions. Proceedings of the 12th Pan-African Ornithological Congress, 2008. (ed. by Harebottle, D.M., Craig, A.J.F.K., Anderson, M.D., Rakotomanana, H. & Muchai, M.), pp. 50–104. Animal Demography Unit, Cape Town.


Popular and applied papers


Bonet, R., Arnaud, F., Bodin, X., Bouche, M., Boulangeat, I., Bourdeau, P., Bouvier, M., Cavalli, L., Choler, P., Delestrade, A., Dentant, C., Dumas, D., Fouinat, L., Gardent, M., Lavergne, S., Lavorel, S., Naffrechoux, E., Nellier, Y., Perga, M.-E., Sagot, C., Senn, O. & Thuiller, W. (2016) Indicators of climate: Ecrins National Park participates in long-term monitoring to help determine the effects of climate change. Eco.Mont, 8, 44-52. PDF

Barnard, P., Thuiller, W., and Midgley, G.F. (2005) Invasive species under global change – signs from a homogenized world. GISPNews 4, 8-11 PDF

Chuine I. and Thuiller W. (2005) Impact du changement climatique sur la biodiversité. Le Courrier de la Nature 223, 20-26


Combrisson D., Saillard A. & Thuiller W. 2020. — La prise en compte de la malacofaune continentale comme indicateur des changements globaux, in Léonard L. (éd.), Colloque national de malacologie continentale, Nantes, 6 et 7 décembre 2018. Naturae 2020 (16): 225-230. https://doi.org/10.5852/naturae2020a16